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Assuming a full-scale military intervention in Venezuela doesn't end in a decisive U.S. victory within two days (kind of expecting it considering the never-ending stream of bad news and U.S. victories), I hope that at least thousands of U.S. troops end up getting butchered, maimed, and traumatized.
It would be an unbelievable disaster of a guerrilla war that would never end. Mountainous, forested terrain full of armed and trained militiamen.
Yeah, that's what I want to believe. It makes sense, but I keep getting sucker-punched by life so much I can't put faith into anything that "sounds" reasonable anymore
Edit: Like "here are all the points in Venezuela's favor" and then the invasion begins and suddenly all of that just evaporates overnight after everything.
I don't see how the US has any viable options other than bombings. Anything else has such high risks I doubt they'd attempt it. Bombing is plenty bad enough obviously, but seems unlikely to achieve their goals.
I get that. Since Syria fell, it's hard to have hope in anyone standing against the US and it's allies. And there are more US puppets in South America than there are allies of Venezuela and Colombia.
others have already chimed in but I just want to say that Operation Timber Sycamore was a 13 year project
The problem is that Venezuela doesn't have a bordering country willing to smuggle weapons to guerillas like Vietnam had, so American naval blockade would cut off supplies and quickly strangle guerilla movements to manageable levels.
The border with Colombia isn't going to be shut down, even if the Colombian government was interested in that, which rn it definitely isn't
Colombia is a "major non-NATO ally" and its military is insanely right-wing. I don't think it can be counted on.
Colombia has a weak military and a long, rugged border.
Will we see a repeat of Bolívar's march through the mountains as they fight the fascist American occupation?
I hope you are right.
Much more likely to be a jungle version of Afghanistan. They may get the government out initially, but there will be a prolonged insurgency afterwards that I do not believe they can win.
Will still be horrible for Venezuela and the left in South America in general. Even if the US doesn't get their preferred stooge in charge, and it's some random anti-American warlord, if it's not a communist or socialist, that would suck.
Oh absolutely it will suck. There will be 10-20 years of insurgency suck.