this post was submitted on 20 Dec 2025
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Personally, I refuse to reproduce because we're not even pretending to avoid 3+C
I won't have children just to suffer
We've already more of less avoided 3+C https://climateactiontracker.org/
Of course, 2.6 is plenty catastrophic. It is unconscionable that we're going above 1.5. But it's not 3+C.
There's ongoing efforts to reduce renewables and increase fossil fuel use...I wish I shared your confidence
Those efforts are facing an uphill battle, because renewables are so much cheaper. Any country that doesn't go all in on renewables will lose all their energy intensive industries to other countries.
Since Trumps election the forecast have been revised down from 2.7 to 2.6 and I suspect that is because of the prices of renewables.
I want to believe you, can you break it down more?
Not really. I don't remember my sources and half just put them together halfhazardly to reach this conclusion.
We know renewables are cheap, and we know expensive energy is terrible for an economy. Though maybe if renewables take off massively then fossil fuels will become much cheaper.