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AGI, nanobots, fully autonomous self driving cars, cancer cures and aging cures, significant life extension, etc are all a long way off. Decades.

I’m not saying they’ll never happen, of course, just that we’re a long time away from them. I see way too many people thinking that these things are around the corner, and it makes me sad.

With regards to life extension especially (since i see a looooot of people think they personally will get to live forever), the odds of biotech and medicine advancing in our lifetimes to the extent that it facilitates biological immortality and indefinitely extended lifespans is slim to none at best. Go ask the actual experts if you don’t believe me.

The most we will see in our lifetimes is increased HEALTHspan, and tbh even that is iffy since we don’t even know if we will get even that.

In my opinion the first generations to experience significantly extended lifespans and age reversal probably haven’t been born yet. That’s how long i think it’s going to take.

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[-] bucho@lemmy.one 17 points 1 year ago

Counterpoint: in December of 1903, the New York Times ran an opinion piece saying that Man wouldn't unlock the secret of flight for at least a million years. 9 days later, the Wright brothers flew their first prototype airplane.

So, you know. Don't count out those hidden breakthroughs.

this post was submitted on 27 Aug 2023
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