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AGI, nanobots, fully autonomous self driving cars, cancer cures and aging cures, significant life extension, etc are all a long way off. Decades.

I’m not saying they’ll never happen, of course, just that we’re a long time away from them. I see way too many people thinking that these things are around the corner, and it makes me sad.

With regards to life extension especially (since i see a looooot of people think they personally will get to live forever), the odds of biotech and medicine advancing in our lifetimes to the extent that it facilitates biological immortality and indefinitely extended lifespans is slim to none at best. Go ask the actual experts if you don’t believe me.

The most we will see in our lifetimes is increased HEALTHspan, and tbh even that is iffy since we don’t even know if we will get even that.

In my opinion the first generations to experience significantly extended lifespans and age reversal probably haven’t been born yet. That’s how long i think it’s going to take.

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[-] elouboub@kbin.social 4 points 1 year ago

I'd be more worried about how close the end of life as we know it due to climate change is. 2050 is going to be a hoot.

The rest is probably slated to come around 2100 by which time we might not even have the society and tech to make those things, due to the breakdown we will have experienced long before then.

this post was submitted on 27 Aug 2023
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