this post was submitted on 29 Jan 2026
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So, let's pretend the end goal of the Chinese state is a full scale amphibious invasion of Taiwan (it's not, as evidenced by the soft economic takeovers in Hong Kong, Tibet, Xinjiang, and assorted border nations, but lets pretend).
Now, let's consider that Xiaomi has already designed a 3nm chip and Huawei is close behind with an expected 2026 release. Economically speaking, who benefits if TMSC blows up its own facilities and hands 70% of the global market share to these two companies (plus Samsung and maybe Intel if they ever get their shit together)?
This feels like Nancy Kerrigan putting a baseball bat to her own knee and threatening to ruin Tonya Harding's career.