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What's even the point of the current US offensive on Iran? (lemmygrad.ml)

submitted 1 month ago by Conselheiro@lemmygrad.ml to c/asklemmygrad@lemmygrad.ml

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I'm usually a "Sane Trump Theory" supporter, but I see no outcome where the US achieves strategic gains in this one. Even with successful leadership assassination and significant damage to Iran's current nuclear capabilities, it'll just be kicking the can down the road and galvanising even more the Iranian people against the US. There's no way an outright occupation of Iran will happen.

But most NATO substrates have also designated the IRGC as a terrorist org, which I think would imply that the offensive is somehow strategically important. I don't like the whole depoliticising "distraction from Epstein" narrative, but I'm struggling to come up with alternatives here.

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[–] Marat@lemmygrad.ml 19 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

I had a theory a little bit ago that this most recent sleeper cell offensive was resource intense, and if it doesn't actually result in some form of victory [whether nuclear, economic or oppurtunistic in nature] this deployment might be a last ditch effort to get something out of it, or if all else fails they would rather try to cripple the country than let it continue