this post was submitted on 02 Feb 2026
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What's even the point of the current US offensive on Iran? (lemmygrad.ml)
submitted 1 month ago by Conselheiro@lemmygrad.ml to c/asklemmygrad@lemmygrad.ml
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I'm usually a "Sane Trump Theory" supporter, but I see no outcome where the US achieves strategic gains in this one. Even with successful leadership assassination and significant damage to Iran's current nuclear capabilities, it'll just be kicking the can down the road and galvanising even more the Iranian people against the US. There's no way an outright occupation of Iran will happen.

But most NATO substrates have also designated the IRGC as a terrorist org, which I think would imply that the offensive is somehow strategically important. I don't like the whole depoliticising "distraction from Epstein" narrative, but I'm struggling to come up with alternatives here.

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[–] Conselheiro@lemmygrad.ml 13 points 1 month ago

Erm, aren't you? I see mentions of it everywhere. In fact, I see more mentions of it than actual decent analysis of US deployments. It's even starting to get annoying seeing all the OSINT channels I follow get flooded with it.