this post was submitted on 11 Feb 2026
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To be annoyingly accurate, Marx still held the belief that the west would be the first to revolt and establish socialism, as they had reached the higher reaches of capitalism first. He hadn't lived to see the contemporary period of imperialism Lenin had, where a bunch of competing developed capitalist nations split the world and warred over it with each other, nor had Lenin lived to see the end-result of that war, one where the US Empire stands unquestionably on top while the rest are vassalized, nor the current stage where the US Empire is crumbling beneath its feet.
In other words, Lenin, Nkrumah, Cheng Enfu, or Michael Hudson would all be strong contenders over Marx for theory on why the west in particular is the biggest obstacle for socialism globally.
Yeah I agree. I also think that in terms of the US and the settler colonies it wasn't until even the 70s and 80s with people like Fanon and Sakai really explaining why settlers and colonists will side with empire over the working class due to the material benefit from empire. While Settlers and Sakai definitely has some issues the description of labor aristocracy stuck with me and explained what I saw when I lived in the US.
The concept of a labor aristocracy existed with Lenin, but Fanon in particular delved into the psychology of nationalist revolt against colonialism and imperialism, and Sakai with why the US Empire in particular has a settler-garrison, essentially. For a more broad concept of the modern labor aristocracy, I like how Nkrumah describes it as exporting of the heightened contradictions of late-stage capitalism from core to periphery. It's only really recently that conditions in the US Empire have begun to decay enough that the class interests of the working class there have become more genuinely aligned with the working classes abroad. Quantity into quality, etc. etc.
i'm surprised he's made the list; i thought he was a useless trotskyist.
He isn't useless, he often makes good points. He isn't as good as Lenin, or modern Marxist-Leninists, but his analysis in Super-Imperialism is useful, even with his biases.
madeline pendelton described trotskyism as effectively useless because they've never been successful historically and i guess i took that to mean that they were useless in general.
Trotskyism is often just Marxism-Leninism, but anti-AES for nonsense reasons IMO. Some Trotskyist critique of capitalism and imperialism is good still, and Hudson is one of the better ones, though not perfect by any stretch. Trotskyism isn't a particularly coherent ideology at a theoretical level, and is mostly distinguished by what it opposes.
I really like his books, honestly just got my friend a copy of The Destiny of Civilization. I guess I should warn him it’s got some trot pov, kinda forgot that about Hudson
He isn't as annoying about it as many Trots are.
Marx himself in his research felt Russia could move straight into communism.
https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1877/11/russia.htm
https://guilfordjournals.com/doi/10.1521/siso.2018.82.1.67
Not skip straight to what we know of as communism, ie a global system of collectivized production and distribution, just that they could begin what we call now socialism earlier. Marx still believed that the west would be the first to transition to socialism.
And Marx literally directly contradicts you on this. This letter comes after the publication of Capital, and Marx is explicitly stating the opportunity to not have to become a capitalist country.
Yes, he is suggesting that they could skip capitalism and enter what we understand to be socialism. He isn't wagering that they would, just that they could if the commune movement succeded in supplanting the rising capitalist class, which your sources shows that Marx's expectation was that capitalism will in fact rise. Here:
Marx did not think Russia could go straight to what we understand today to be communism, or "upper stage communism" as Marx puts it. Just that they could skip capitalism and begin socialism right from the commune movement.
And you're entire response was denying this by suggesting Marx only thought this could happen in western, capitalist societies, which is flatly wrong. You aren't even understanding the contention, nor responding to it.
Ah, I see the problem. I never said Marx said socialism could only begin in western, capitalist societies. Here's what I actually said:
Notice how I didn't say he thought it was only possible in western, capitalist countries. I specifically said that he thought that they would be the first. In the case of the commune movement in Russia, he said they were essentially squandering a very real chance to avoid that same path of development, not that he believed Russia would be first.
In short, the strawman you made of my point is indeed flatly wrong, and if I had said what you thought I said I would agree that it was indeed wrong. But I didn't make that point.
And he literally contradicts this, not just in this but his other research and letters, and even later editions of the communist manifesto.
https://monthlyreview.org/articles/marx-and-engels-and-russias-peasant-communes/
I don't know why you're continuing to double and triple-down. We agree that Marx believed Russia could have sidestepped capitalist development and gone straight from feudalism to the communalist movement to socialism to communism. However, he did not think this was more likely than revolution in western Europe. He simply saw it as it was, a great but likely squandered opportinity.
In other words, if Marx believed there was a 75% chance the revolution would first come to western Europe, and a 25% chance it would come to Russia, it is correct to say that he believed it would most likely come first to western Europe. It is, therefore, equally incorrect to say that he believed it could only happen in western Europe, as you allege I say (but I have disproven this), as it would be to say that Marx believed it would happen in Russia first (as you appear to be saying).
Because you keep repeating something which is not true.
This is directly contradicted by his letters and actions. He and Engels were directly corresponding with Russian revolutionaries, and literally surmised a Russian revolution could in fact be the first to set off a world revolution and was actively interested in aiding it. You're just refusing to take in new information.
Marx thought Russia had a unique opportunity to sidestep capitalist development, and kick off revolution in the west. He made it clear that if conditions continued as they had, however, that this opportunity would never materialize. I've read Capital and its post-scripts, I've read his letters to Russian revolutionaries. I used to be an anarchist, and these get thrown around all the time to make it seem like Marx was supportive of anarchism at the end of his life (which he wasn't). This isn't new information to me, you're just confusing Marx saying Russia had a great opportunity to skip capitalism with Marx saying he thought Russia would in fact do so.
Marx did not merely say they had an opportunity in the abstract, he was directly involved with them and actively seeking to aid them. That is not the action of someone who merely once on the side referenced it as a vague possibility then effectively rejected it, which is what you now have to claim to deny the actual history and Marx's own words on the topic to maintain the idea that Marx effectively only thought a revolution would happen in the west. Just stop going in circles.
There was no misunderstanding, thanks.
There absolutely was, no matter how many times I explain that I never said Marx believed revolution would only happen in the west you keep insisting that I did. Either you misunderstand, or you deliberately lie. This is wrecker bullshit.
What else would you call repeatedly misframing what a comrade is saying? We are both presumably communists, and we've both read the literature. If I am telling you that I never once said Marx thought revolution was only possible in the west, and you continue to quadruple-down on that, what possibly could be your goal?
Yes, we indeed had a minor back-and-forth, yet you can't for some reason admit to misunderstanding my original claim, no matter how much I explain that to you. Now that you're getting called out on it, you retreat to insult.
We agree that Marx believed Russia could have sidestepped capitalist development and gone straight from feudalism to the communalist movement to socialism to communism. However, he did not think this was more likely than revolution in western Europe. He simply saw it as it was, a great but likely squandered opportinity.
In other words, if Marx believed there was a 75% chance the revolution would first come to western Europe, and a 25% chance it would come to Russia, it is correct to say that he believed it would most likely come first to western Europe. It is, therefore, equally incorrect to say that he believed it could only happen in western Europe, as you allege I say (but I have disproven this), as it would be to say that Marx believed it would happen in Russia first (as you appear to be saying).
You're getting labled a wrecker because there's no logical explanation for why you would maintain that I claimed Marx said revolution could only happen in the west, and that it could only happen because they were developed capitalist countries. I never said anything of the sort, and even elaborated on my views to you. Instead, you jumped to condescending remarks, pretending that this is new information to me, and jump to insults.
I do agree, this isn't ever going to get anywhere if you can't even treat me with the respect of listening to what I said.
We've been over this already, with sources I was able to provide. I directly responded to this. If you're gonna complain about listening, don't do it while repeating shit at me I already responded to.
I listened to what you said, disagreed, and now you want to keep whining about it and insisting that its wrecker behaviour as if that's respectful. Grow the fuck up or just leave it be.
And yet your sources contradict your claims, showing instead that Marx became convinced later in life of the real revolutionary opportunity in Russia, not that it outweighed the revolutionary opportunity in western Europe.
Wrecker shit. You went beyond disagreement into misunderstanding, either deliberate, or deliberately refusing to acknowledge.
I suggest walking away, touching grass, and ideally joining an org if you aren't already a part of one. All 3 would be immensely beneficial, I believe.
I am when people decide to be annoying. I can have a back and forth with someone without you feeling the need to pretend this is some major issue.
Marx also aided and worked with western revolutionaries. He didn't make a complete pivot, he saw new opportunity where he previously thought there was none. I have never said that Marx only thought a revolution would happen in the west, this is nonsense. Touch grass, comrade.
Y'all, as a baby leftist who still has All The Reading still to do. This whole back and forth has been fascinating to read. Also, kind of disheartening.
A billion offshoots of Christianity killing each other over how/whether they dunk their babies. Liberals/Lefties in the US pissing each other off and leaving a nice opening for the fascists.
What is with us as a species that we almost seem to prefer arguing fine points with people who we largely agree with while the actual enemies of a common cause laugh and win.
Like I said, fascinating read. Just... "more unites us than divides us" and all that?
This kind of behavior really isn't common, especially not in real-life organizing. Don't be disheartened! Also, if you want a place to start with reading theory, I made an intro Marxist-Leninist reading list you can check out!