this post was submitted on 18 Feb 2026
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Joseph Stalin, Economic Problems of the USSR, Chapter 6 Inevitability of Wars Between Capitalist Countries
Sure, but that doesn't contradict what I said. Stalin is talking about a situation where there are underlying reasons for conflict between capitalist countries. I'm saying such reasons simply do not exist between Russia and the US. Russia is a regional power, and it doesn't directly encroach on US interests.
The reason is the same as always, extraction of natural resources and cheap labour from Russia.
Europe will never side with Russia in this conflict, but should the US attack China, Europe might side with China in hopes of regaining independence from the US.
The US will be doing that in their own hemisphere, because the geography makes it pretty much impossible for the US to contest Russia. That much should be obvious. In fact, the policy papers that were published last year and this year spell this out in black and white:
Europe in its current state is subservient to the US, but if you look at the politics in Europe, it's pretty clear that liberal regimes aren't going to last long. Once it becomes clear the war is lost, there's going to be a huge political upheaval. My expectation is that the most likely scenario is that nationalist parties get into power in France and Germany, and that's going to be the end of the EU. It's entirely possible that countries like Hungary and Slovakia actually join BRICS as well.
Europe trying to normalize relations with China is a possibility, but so far there's little sign that there is any serious effort in that direction.