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https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#Seat_projections
Currently polling has Reform at a +112 seat majority.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#2026
Approval polling has Reform as the predominant choice.
It does seem to be a downward trajectory at least though. Let me cling to a little hope please :P. Perhaps the debates will swing it in Polanski's favour; he is the only one who lays out a reasonable plan for working folks.
I hope the wider British public wakes up before the election. But, pretty much all of the mainstream media encourages their base instincts to blame immigrants at some level, rather than the wealthy. They are caught in a propaganda loop. Some of that influence is obvious (The Mail), some of it is very subtle (BBC, TheGuardian - editorship).
But I'm not overly optimistic. It took them way too long to realise the Tory leopards were eating their faces.
Americans coming over here is quite laughable. Good luck guys, you'd be better off somewhere that has a relatively young democracy and/or dictatorship in living memory (Germany and Spain look pretty good from where I'm sitting - but even Germany is a little bit O.o).
I came to the UK over a decade ago. It's much better than the US. Not all that bad. The fascist media has been loudly broadcasting propaganda about decline, but
Nothing subtle about the BBC, it's had 14 years of Tory appointments to senior positions, and Starmer has done nothing to correct the imbalance. The Guardian has always been centrist-- for example when they bought into the "Corbyn is antisemitic" lies and jumped on the Labour Together bandwagon, but even before that, they've always had a big representation of old SDP hands and other non-Tory anti-socialists. I fully expect they'll be turning their guns on the Greens, now, trying to keep dead-duck Starmer afloat a bit longer.
They're off their peak, as they're being forced to try and govern in the smattering of local elections they've already won. Also, Reform is getting larded up with Tory and New Labour refugees. The joke I've heard is "this may be the first boat to get sunk by the rats jumping on board".
The public is constantly being "woken up" by a hysterical national media. It is, if anything, too awake. Like a man on a coke bender who hasn't slept in days. They're incapable of supporting any kind of moderate liberal campaign for fear of these candidates being too nice to Muslims or Gays or KGB agents or pedophiles.
Germany is absolutely fucked. The AfD is polling on par with Reform, atm.
Spain is caught between a dozen different rocks and hard places. I'd say they at least have some nice HSR, but two derailments in as many months is fucking bleak. All of Europe is once again staring down the barrel of "Oops, all out of money", thanks to their inability to tax billionaires or nationalize critical industries. It's going to be a repeat of 2010 if the US economy repeats 2008.
Polanski is starting to fall out with his party. He, a committed zionist, while his party wants to pass a resolution defining zionism as apartheid. It’ll probably end in tears before the next general election.
There's an out-of-context quote where Polanski is saying Zionism doesn't have to be inherently racist. And, back in the early days after 1948, there were indeed socialist Zionists who were committed to equality for Palestinians. But they were soon pushed aside by the hard-right faction. So I'd differ from Zach and would argue that this is inevitable in a colonialist, nationalist enterprise.
There's a resolution proposed for the upcoming Green conference declaring that Zionism is racism. I'll be voting for it.
Here's a paraphrased quote from Zack Polanski: "Zionism is Racism"
What are you even talking about? Israel owns all the other major parties, except the greens! That quote is 100% more than any leader of any UK party has ever said regarding Israel or Gaza.
Three very different sources on this:
https://www.jewishnews.co.uk/polanski-indicates-support-for-greens-zionism-is-racism-motion/
https://www.politico.eu/article/uk-green-zack-polanski-zionism-is-racism-motion/
https://news.sky.com/story/israel-not-committing-genocide-in-gaza-but-casualties-and-destruction-are-utterly-appalling-says-uk-government-13427380
He told LBC last week that Zionism wasn’t racist, and that it was just Netanyahu making it racist.
When pressed, he refused to declare Zionism racist in that interview. That's quite different from saying zionism isn't racist; he just wouldn't say that it was. Also, he's kind of right isn't he? From a nuanced perspective, it's Netanyahu and his party that have largely created the fascism at the heart of Israel, so I appreciate his point. But, I suppose theoretically, the fact he went to reflect before changing his position, could indicate a needed to gain permission from the person he is owned by before changing his stance.
This week he has said specifically, that zionism is racism under pressure from his party. I don't see that as the act of a committed zionist, but then again is it just verbal buttering? He's seemingly willing to go so much further than Starmer, Badenoch or Farage in his anti-Israel speech. If he was owned by Netanyahu like so many politicians are, he wouldn't be able to say this freely surely? It also shows he's willing to go with consensus of his party which is also a good sign.
That said I've been fooled before by music to my ears; so it comes down to a matter of trust doesn't it? Do we trust him? There's no telling before reaching power. He's been transparent about his finances at least; and doesn't appear to have been bought like many other politicians. But whether or not he's a Trojan horse for the left, who has a hidden master, is impossible to see at this stage.
From its creation, Zionism was racist. It sought to abandon the Jewish tradition of nation being shared belief, to a nation based on race. It seeks to build an exclusively Jewish state, to the exclusion of all others but particularly the arabs.
The next general election is in 2028. Polls now have no predictive power that far into the future.
Also, the UK is riddled with push-polling.
We just had a by election yesterday