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(MEGATHREAD) In a joint attack, the US and Israel attacked Iran! Updates in comments!
(video.twimg.com)
this post was submitted on 28 Feb 2026
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Patriots are running low. Estimated that 1600 Patriot missiles have been used so far by US, Israel and Gulf states to repel Iranian strikes, with an annual production of 600 per year.
https://tass.com/world/2097275
So if this is true it would be wise for China to grab Taiwan in 2027 before production of patriots increases or maybe China will increase their production and out-produce the U.S.
?
According to various analysts, the US will likely transfer AA batteries and radars from East Asia to reinforce their force attacking Iran.
Even then, I don't expect China to invade Taiwan:
China has repeatedly demonstrated that it prefers to sit back and let things take their course without overt interference, and certainly without flexing its military might.
China expects Taiwan to come back to the fold through natural and peaceful processes. Right now the disintegration of the US military, political and global system are working out for China just as they are.
China's industrial capabilities have surpassed those of the US, and the US is still focused on producing "artisanal" systems, i.e. high-tech, over-designed, hard-to-produce, expensive hardware.
Still, China's weapons systems are largely untested in combat conditions. I'm pretty sure this is something the Chinese supreme command is bearing in mind when it comes to confronting the US. You can say what you will about the US systems, but at least they've been using them non-stop in combat conditions for the past 25 years.
Also, do not forget that the military failure of the US is a specifically anti-missile capability failure. Perhaps a ground warfare capability failure too, considering the Ukraine war. That is not enough of an assurance that a war between US and China will be won by China with minimal or acceptable losses. Particularly since such a war will be prosecuted by the US using its "strong" assets, which is its naval, air and nuclear forces.
However, having said all that, the removal of systems from East Asia in favour of West Asia is probably going to create a lot of friction within the US military command structure. And it will certainly make East Asian allies/vassals, who heavily rely on US production (e.g. South Korea, Japan) to seriously reconsider their relationship with the US.