this post was submitted on 19 Mar 2026
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Geopolitics
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My guess is that Trump personally has neither a good understanding of the political situation in Iran nor a contingency plan for what to do if this war isn't won quickly, but Netanyahu presumably does have both and Israel can't "chicken out" and leave the region the way that many people expect the US to. Thus while I remain pessimistic about the possibility of victory through air power, I presume that Israel does have some plan that isn't clearly a bad idea.