Explanations I've seen:
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to drive up oil / gas prices (the problem is that the prices are too high, which accelerates the global green energy revolution and the end of the fossil fuel industry while destabilizing western "society"; successfully seizing Iran's oil would have presumably lowered prices too);
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Trump's ego, bolstered by Maduro's kidnapping and the seemingly successful counter-revolution in Venezuela; the imperial ruling class thought they were invincible because they haven't suffered a really palpable defeat since Vietnam (I guess Afghanistan / Yemen doesn't count...);
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to protect the Zionist entity and the Gulf Monarchies and also to shore up American influence in the region;
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to slow China's rise (Iran supplies lots of China's fossil fuels);
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a distraction from the Epstein files;
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lots of powerful ghouls have been itching to do this since 1979;
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to stop Iran's nonexistent nuclear weapons program;
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to game the stock market.
Did I miss anything? What are the most plausible / implausible explanations? Are they all valid? I'm not sure, I'm asking because I want comments / critiques. Also, are we headed to a permanent nationwide blackout in the USA (as predicted by The Simpsons) and the Mad Max-ification of all but the top 10% or will things "go back to normal"? Or will this just become another Ukraine War?
Bonus Q: how are the libs and chuds you know reacting to the war? My spouse thinks that Iran is currently winning but the USA will eventually prevail 🥴
My "fun", non-material, tin-foil-hat-wearing, crackpot hypothesis is that it's to provoke a 9/11 style attack (or false flag) on American soil.
If that were to happen, the fascism dial would immediately be turned up to 11. They'd get a whole new population for ICE to target, a bunch of people frothing at the mouth to go slaughter brown people, and plausible-enough justification to crack down on whoever they decide is "antifa".
I could see their plan being:
Step one already happened :( it was unprovoked. The cruelty was the point.
Now we're seeing folks trying to declare things over, so it seems like step two was to disengage. Fortunately, it isn't really working bc Iran rules. I think US leadership made a mistake here and put their dick in a hornet's nest.
Now there are whisperings about "Iranian sleeper agents" and the Iranian leadership explicitly saying "we have no beef with the American people" and the US is making clones of Shahed drones. It smells a bit like a metanarrative is being constructed...
Again, I don't think it's good analysis, but it's what I'm going with for now - mostly bc I don't have any clue about the material conditions that'd actually be a good explanation.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy: