this post was submitted on 14 Sep 2023
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GenZedong

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[–] freagle@lemmygrad.ml 2 points 2 years ago (1 children)

China has th benefit of not needing to win, they only need to create the conditions for the USA to collapse. If they scrap the US Navy, it's not hard at that point to just put things in stalemate and let the West falls apart.

[–] ComradeSalad@lemmygrad.ml 2 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (1 children)

Yes, but then you enter a war of attrition which has its own host of problems. After a while war exhaustion would steadily increase, and the impact of a war on china’s/the US’/the worlds economy would be devastating.

It would be a lethal game of Chicken.

[–] freagle@lemmygrad.ml 2 points 2 years ago (1 children)

I don't think it would be chicken. Without a navy, the US can't maintain supply lines to the Pacific theatre and they would need to open up a Western front and enlist Europe in the war. Japan and Australia would need to take over the Pacific front. This is why multipolarity and Chinese diplomacy are critical to ensuring that the USA doesn't have a path to victory through these proxies.

[–] ComradeSalad@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 2 years ago

True, but I guess that all depends on how many supplies the US has stockpiled in Taiwan, and how self sustainable the island is.

Plus I doubt starving the island into submission would make the Taiwanese people very happy with China, so it’s a giant big mess no matter how you approach it.