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FediPact is an Organized Effort to Block Meta's ActivityPub Platform
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this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2023
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Technology
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It’ll be interesting to see what happens with this in the long run. I think the fediverse see’s Meta’s EEE play coming from a mile away compared to previous examples of big corps killing a standard. If Meta really does fork ActivityPub, I could see two webs of federation existing side by side. Enough of the fediverse is against Meta’s integration that Meta breaking the ActivityPub standard won’t force everyone to follow along. If enough instances stick to spec, then there’s still a fediverse to interact with on spec. Some will if they think the large user base Meta brings is worth it, but not all.
The concern is if they don't fork yet, grow a huge userbase that dominates the fediverse and app landscape, then start messing with the underlying protocol to their advantage. Look at what Google did with browsers and email as an example.
That's where the fediverse already expecting an eventual fork makes me think actions like preemptive defederation will keep meta from totally dominating. Sure the web of meta's instance and instances that federate with meta will have a higher population, but that doesn't lessen the number of members currently in instances that defederate meta and stick to spec. Most ActivityPub based platforms aren't being run for profit and just want to run their own community so there isn't an inherent need to follow any changes that meta eventually does or does not make to chase more users. If an instance defeds meta, then what meta does has zero effect on them. As long as enough do that (and the current energy seems to be that enough will) then you still have a healthy, if small, fediverse doing it's own thing without meta.
And XMPP with Google Talk.