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US says Wagner coup is ‘real’ and ‘serious’ as White House consults allies
(www.telegraph.co.uk)
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I think looking at coups historically would be beneficial. I don't imagine Russia as a state (either way) will have much energy for foreign invasion while it's dealing with an internal one. I would imagine there will be much they need to rebuild in an institutional sense...
I doubt anyone involved is going to step aside and risk falling out of a window for democracy in Russia.