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this post was submitted on 12 Oct 2023
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Comradeship // Freechat
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I can only see them winning with direct intervention from Iran and Hezbollah. Hezbollah uses this opportunity to launch an attack from the north. Iran starts sending barrages of missiles towards Israel's electrical grid and military targets, and Palestinians use guerilla tactics to distract them. The rest of the Middle East should embargo Israel during this conflict.
This actually seems like the perfect opportunity to attack, since the US army is drained of resources. The US strategic oil reserve is also pretty low, so if the US starts making threats, Iran can simply close the straight of Ormuz and the price of oil would skyrocket overnight. But I don't think any of this will happen.
Why not?
Just to be clear, is your question why doesn’t Iran send “missile barrages” intended to secure the military defeat and destruction of a nuclear armed power which hates them?
Iran would never do that though because Israel maintains an undeclared nuclear weapons capability.