217
Analysis: ‘Greater than 99% chance’ 2023 will be hottest year on record
(www.carbonbrief.org)
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
this post was submitted on 16 Oct 2023
217 points (98.7% liked)
Climate - truthful information about climate, related activism and politics.
4916 readers
656 users here now
Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.
As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades:
How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world:
Recommended actions to cut greenhouse gas emissions in the near future:
Anti-science, inactivism, and unsupported conspiracy theories are not ok here.
founded 1 year ago
MODERATORS
Probably the same chance for 2024 with el nino
2025 isn't looking that great either.
The history of temperature rise has not been monotonic. So I'd expect a period of a few years where we don't set a new record.
Yes but that doesn't mean we've reached the current peak yet.
Exactly, don't forget that climate change goes extreme in both directions, so we may very well face the coldest year on record too.
Basically no chance of that happening. Temperatures are rising, just with a bit of noise:
Monotonic would mean that each year is strictly warmer than the last one, but the noise is big enough that we sometimes get a few slightly less warm years before the next record.
The bigger picture looks like this:
The scary thing about your first graph is that it is missing the current year, where the line will precisely hit the top right corner.
I feel like not enough people realize how unprecedented this year was. It took 40 years of global warming to get from +0.3 to +0.9 and now we're making an equally big jump in 1 year.