hey, it's approaching the setup to the plot of Occupied/Okkupert.
all that is left is for the US to go isolationist/withdraw from NATO, a climate catastrophe devastating Norway fueling a an ascendant green party that halts all oil and gas production, and the EU leadership to geopolitically whiplash from energy panic and broker a velvet glove occupation to restart energy production and export.
which is obviously a whole list of wild, but hey the US blew up a pipeline and despite its impacts, seems to be completely memory holed now.