this post was submitted on 17 Nov 2025
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I have a bunch of stocks and mutual funds in my portfolio. I’d like to sell some small percent of these “traditional” investments and purchase some cryptocurrency. But I’m trying to figure out how to calculate when is the best time to do this transfer.

Basically, what I want is to see some chart and setup an alert that tells me:

  1. When the stock price is high (relative to my fiat currency) and
  2. When the price of the cryptocurrency is low (relative to the above fiat currency)

First, how do I do this theoretically? Is there some way to construct a chart that simplifies two lines into one line, which is some calculation of the two lines that shows a single line with points very high on the y-axis when the above two conditions are true, and very low on the y-axis when the above conditions are not true?

Second, how can I setup an alert that tells me when the chart above is at some sort of year-time-high, so I can be alerted that “now” is a good time to sell stocks and buy the given cryptocurrency.

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[–] davel@lemmy.ml 6 points 4 months ago (1 children)
  1. I can’t time the market and neither can you. The only people who can are those with insider information and those in a position to influence the market.
  2. Crypto isn’t an investment. It’s a hustle. There are only marks and cons. As they say in poker, if you can’t spot the sucker, it’s you.
  3. I can’t outperform index securities and neither can you.
[–] Lemmyoutofhere@lemmy.ca 2 points 4 months ago

Why not just cash out and burn it all. Much faster with the same result.

[–] TheObviousSolution@lemmy.ca 3 points 4 months ago (1 children)

Just by looking at a graph, you are bound to fail. A graph is a shadow, you need to look at the people investing and selling, at the hustlers, banks, and investment firms, and have a good model and a way to keep it updated, keeping in mind you could potentially be someone else's target at the drop of a hat. Some are large enough that they can be predictable, but each stock and cryptoscam is a case by case study. People are already throwing LLMs and neural nets at it, if it were easy you would have no margins because everyone would be doing it.

Sell all of your wordly belongings and go all-in on DOGE, right now, it's not too late.