The polls in 2016 were largely on target. Clinton won the popular vote by roughly the predicted margin and the few key swing states that lost her the race had results that were largely within the margin of error. Lots of people took 2016 as an indication that polling is no longer good. That's the wrong lesson to learn from 2016; it just doesn't match the facts.

I bet these polls are within a couple points of the reality, as they pretty much always have been (even in the era of cell phones). They specifically weight the results based on the expected non-response of various groups. They account for the most obvious objection that anybody could raise about a modern poll (this one).

Been a long time. Once I found out it was all bones and hooves and connective tissue, that kinda took the fun out of it.

I'd guess it's behavioral isolation because your behaviors caused the isolation? I'm guessing this is bio?

The polls are worse, by a lot. He is absolutely sinking and not coming back.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/poll-debate-biden-trump.html

🐍🐍🐍🐍

Would all those guys lose to Trump? Probably. Will Biden lose to Trump? Definitely. I'll take long odds over no odds.

Having lived there, Houston to College Station to Waco is 100% ugly. Really all of East Texas. I admit the hill country is pretty decent.

I moved to Seattle, though. Most Texans don't know what they're missing.

Remember those pics of Goebbels, one before learning the photographer was Jewish, and one after?

The whole premise of this veto is that the infrastructure isn't set up for mushrooms to be used as a safe medicine. Which completely ignores the fact that most people who use mushrooms do so recreationally; who gives a shit if it can or can't be used by the medical system? That would be great, but it has no bearing on whether mushrooms should be legalized.

It's pretty easy to come up with some things billionaires have done that are good. Bill Gates funding cures and prevention of diseases in the third world is one that comes to mind.

Now, if we're talking about finding an example of a billionaire whose life is on balance a good thing for humanity...that's pretty much impossible.

I got a PhD in philosophy. I have exponentially more experience applying for jobs and getting rejected than most people.