CleverOleg

joined 2 years ago
[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 5 points 5 hours ago (1 children)

Trump is talking about how he is getting China to “open up their markets” like he’s fucking Commodore Perry or something. I have no idea what that means, likely BS but who knows with him.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 12 points 4 days ago

At a certain level of wealth, where you “live” is kind of abstract. If you own several homes and constantly spending time at each, where you live legally is more of a formality.

But for a level down from this - when you’re wealthy but not so wealthy to pull this off - there are so many non-monetary reasons for where you live. Someone who loves California weather and the taxes don’t actually make much of an impact in their enjoyment of life? Why the fuck would you move to Tennessee or Florida? Or if all your friends and family live near you now, why move somewhere and isolate yourself just to make a political point about taxes?

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 12 points 6 days ago

Yeah me too. It has problems but not nearly as many as Dances With Wolves.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 17 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I think this is an incredibly important point to remember when hearing this news. The IOF already tried to destroy the Resistance and failed miserably. There is no reason to think they will be any more successful than they were before.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 40 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (8 children)

You do know you’re posting on Hexbear right? And we do actually say “fuck veterans” here?

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 77 points 1 week ago (13 children)

Apparently Kneecap came out and said they do not, in fact, support Hamas or Hezbollah.

While a little disappointing, I do believe (and UK comrades can correct me if I’m wrong), that expressing verbal support for “designated terrorist groups” actually can land you in jail in the UK.

So if that’s true, I at least kinda understand why they’re saying it.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 33 points 1 week ago (2 children)

I believe - and I think there’s a tremendous amount of evidence that supports me - that the stock market is “efficient” in the sense that all information is processed nearly instantly (that doesn’t mean stock markets lead to efficient allocation of capital, that’s a very different thing). So that begs the question, the market is NOT pricing in an economic crash. Why?

It’s reasonable to conclude that market makers are not on the Trump Train and don’t actually believe he will restart American manufacturing or bring in hundreds of billions in tariff revenue.

OK, so that means the market thinks the tariffs won’t have much of an impact. Given the broad consensus among economists of all stripes about tariffs, it’s also reasonable to conclude that it’s not that the market anticipates there will be no impact from tariffs.

Thus, I think that right now the market assumes these tariffs won’t stick, and that they’ll actually disappear fairly soon. Market makers are not blind acolytes of capitalism, though. They have a laser focus on making money. So IMO, I think they have reliable inside information that the tariffs won’t stick. Like, I wouldn’t be surprised if Bessent is begging China to just give Trump the most nominal, pointless win so he can fold. And the market - looking back on the past - thinks China will end up being the rational grown-up and will spare any economic pain for giving Trump is cookie.

And… they might be right. Or at least, I see why this is the response from bourgeois capitalists. But I think if the market ever gets the notion that the tariffs might actually stick then I think you will see the market crash hard and fast. Maybe not as bad as 1929 because I think the market will hold out hope that the tariffs will be lifted (and why would anyone destroy the economy on purpose?) if things get really bad.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 26 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago)

Jon Elmer. I’ve watched him on EI’s livestream for over a year now. Highly recommend it. It’s on Thursday mornings or you can watch previous ones on their channel (his segment is called “The Resistance Report” and usually starts about 2/3rds of the way through)

He lived in the West Bank and Gaza too I think for several years, so it’s not like he’s just some western OSINT guy without any experience on the ground. From the start until the ceasefire, Jon would constantly explain how the Resistance was fighting in Gaza. He was a lone voice that was (correctly IMO) pointing out how the IOF was completely unable to hold any ground in Gaza, and how even in places they tried to cut off they would face stiff local resistance.

That said, I don’t think he has quite the knowledge or experience about Yemen as he does Palestine. Not that he’s wrong on anything, but just that he doesn’t have quite the same connection and background there.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 19 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

This is capitalism action, baby. You can talk all you want about wanting some artisanal handcrafted product but the ability to produce commodities cheaply and sell at the lowest price is a big part of what pushes capitalism forward.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 43 points 2 weeks ago

I don’t like Naomi Klein’s anti-China brainworms so I’m gonna skip that section, but I’m reading The Shock Doctrine right now and it really does seem like this is the plan - to shock, destroy, and rebuild. Shock Doctrine is what neoliberal America imposed on so much of the world, so this really is an example what’s learned in the periphery coming home to the core.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 9 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

Tbh I’m not sure most of your typical Dem voters are gonna fall for this type of right wing framing from Dem politicians anymore. I’m not saying AOC has a clear shot at being nomination, but anecdotally when I engage with Dem voters in my personal life (of all ages), they honestly seem fed up with the Dems constantly trying to outflank Republicans from the right. I actually think a Dem that embraces the “maybe we should be democrats” idea (say like Pritzker) probably could win the nomination.

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 16 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Capt. Vasili Borodin: I will live in Montana. And I will marry a round American woman and raise rabbits, and she will cook them for me. And I will have a pickup truck... maybe even a "recreational vehicle." And drive from state to state. Do they let you do that?

Captain Ramius: I suppose.

Capt. Vasili Borodin: No papers?

Captain Ramius: No papers, state to state.

This is from a movie made at the end of the Cold War, meant to highlight the freedom Americans have versus the lack of freedom the Soviets had.

 

Ever since the election, there seems to be a torrent of polling that shows Americans in their late teens and early twenties are fairly reactionary (young men overwhelmingly so). I’m old so I don’t know anyone IRL in that age bracket. But something about what the media has been claiming for months now doesn’t seem to sound right. Idk maybe it’s 100% true but it’s something I have a hard time taking the media’s word for. I know we have quite a few users here in that age bracket. What are your real-life experiences (i.e. not online) with this? Do you think this age demographic is actually trending reactionary?

(I do remember digging into the details of one poll, and while it seemed there was more affiliation with Republicans than previous, it also seemed like there were an also very large segment that were openly showing to be further left than the democrats? So maybe more reactionary sentiment but also more genuinely leftish sentiment?)

 

I am so conflict-avoidant that I’m now at the point that most people in my life don’t actually have any idea I’m even close to being a commie. I really want to start expressing myself more openly and honestly - especially since I feel like I’m actually harming my mental health by not saying how I feel - but I always feel held back. Any tips on improving this are appreciated.

 

As in our comrade Karl Liebknecht, co-founder of the KPD? All these years I’ve been saying “LEEB-necked”, two syllables. But the I heard Matt Christman say “Leeb-KUH-neck-et” (four syllables). And I realized I don’t really know why I was saying it like I was. Anyone know how to actually say it?

 

I identify differently depending on the context.

When around comrades, I will identify as a Marxist-Leninist, as this is the most precise definition of what I hold to. I generally don't use this other than around comrades because no one else has any idea of what it means.

If I'm around people who at least sort of know what Marxism is, I'll call myself a Marxist. But in my experience this is pretty rare. Or this is what I will default to around people who I know are leftist broadly. I feel like "Marxist" is accurate enough where getting into the details of M-L isn't really necessary.

But when I'm around most normies, I will identify as a socialist. I think it's accurate enough to convey to people who do not have a very developed political understanding what I hold to. "Socialist" at the same time conveys a commitment to radical change well beyond the current Republican/Democrat paradigm, while not, for example, putting my job in jeopardy if I call myself a socialist to co-workers.

So the obvious question is why I don't call myself a communist very often IRL, even though I am one. I have before and used it a bit interchangably with M-L among comrades, but I don't use it around people I don't know well and know they are down with it. What I have found with the people in my broader social circle is such a huge lack of political understanding that calling myself a communist only shuts people down. When it comes to Americans, I think it's easy to overestimate their political understanding. I used to think most Americans just think communism is when "everyone is equal". What I've found is worse than that: it's more like people just have this vague notion that "communism = evil". They have no idea what it's about other than decades of propaganda that just equates communism as the ideology of our enemies and those who want to destroy America. So to most Americans, a communist is just someone who is "very bad person" who wants to destroy America (I mean, death to Amerikkka of course, but it's so much more than that). My own parents just think that communism means atheism and can't explain it more than that.

I totally understand the idea that we shouldn't shy away from calling ourselves communists. We need to normalize the idea because communism specifically is what's needed to save the planet. But idk, at this time and place in the US it feels like trying to do this just closes more doors than it opens, at least with the politically ignorant (most people).

 
 

I’ve tried to educate myself more about Palestine, decolonization, and the one-state solution over the last year and a half. It seems intuitive to me that ethnostates should not exist and that no, it’s not valid to carve out a land for the exclusive use of a certain people (especially but not exclusively when someone else is already there). So it’s not just about Palestine, but also about places that seek balkanization along ethnic or religious lines.

So while it’s intuitive to me, I realize that it’s not intuitive to nearly everyone around me (in the US, for reference). There seems to be this very pervasive understanding that of course the Jewish people should have their own exclusive land. Or that if two or more groups of people don’t like each other, it’s better to “divorce” and split up the country.

I struggle with explaining why all this is bad and not a real solution, though. Is there any more in-depth resources (books, articles, academic papers) that articulate a theory of why ethnostates are bad, and why splitting up places isn’t a solution?

 

It’s been long enough, I find myself really missing Matt’s voice. I never really followed his CushVlog - mostly because there was other stuff I wanted to get through when he was putting those out, and I’m also not great with sitting down and listening to YouTube videos.

So I’d like to watch some episodes, but I also don’t really want to slog through all of them. Do you all have any episodes that you like and can recommend?

 

I’m really trying to commit myself to getting a better understanding of the philosophical underpinnings of Marxism. I’m starting with the Vietnamese textbook on dialectical materialism that Luna Oi translated, before moving on to The Dialectics of Nature and Anti-Duhring.

My problem is I really struggle with philosophy. Marxian economics I can vibe with all day, but philosophy is something I’ve never been able to really get a hold of (but wanting to fix that).

So my first big struggle is understanding the difference between dialectical materialism and materialist dialectics. Is the former more of the worldview or viewpoint, and the later is more for explaining and analyzing specific processes? And if that understanding is correct, isn’t materialist dialectics the things we should be committing ourselves to as it’s what helps us better understand material reality (rather than dialectical materialism, which I guess would be more of a “belief statement?)? I don’t know I probably have a lot of this mixed up, just looking for any help on this I can get.

 
 

Just in case anyone else here is watching the match.

 

Of course it was that gusano Maria Salazar who introduced this bill.

Interesting to note that the text of the bill seems to focus on China and mentions Xinjiang in particular. Also how 1.5 billion people currently “suffer” under communism.

This actually seems like a bit of an own goal to me. Sure, tell a bunch of high school kids how China is an undemocratic totalitarian nightmare and that the Uighurs are currently having their organs harvested. Then those students can do literally 10 minutes of research to see that none of that is actually happening and that the people of China are pretty happy with the state of things (at least relative to US Americans).

I should point out for non-US Americans here, education in the US is decentralized. The federal government doesn’t actually have much authority. This bill just tells the Victims of Communism Memorial Fund (snicker) to create materials and make them available.

Death to America.

 

I think it’s remarkable just how comfortable white folks were to vote for an outright white supremacist. It’s important to note that while Duke did give some throwaway lines about how he became a born-again Christian and wasn’t racist anymore… I don’t think anyone believed him because everything else he promoted and advocated for was outright racist. Duke was nothing like Nick Fuentes or even Richard Spencer today - racists who trying and hide just how racist they are. Duke was literally a former KKK grand wizard and even though he was in his early 40s, he had a long track record of openly white supremacist comments. His campaign platform was still racist af and to the surprise of no one here, he got a solid majority of the white vote and only lost because of solid turnout of black voters who voted against him.

I was reading some comments on Reddit about this race and of course white people there try and justify it. A whole lot of “well most white folks didn’t agree with Duke but the other guy was just too corrupt”. Of course, white people are never just racists. As if people really care so much about corruption that they’re willing to vote for literally the worst person in the country. I honestly hate this attitude among white folks - this idea that you must NEVER assume someone’s just racist, and that you can make any excuse for their racist actions or comments by finding some other reason - any reason at all - for their racism.

Literally AmeriKKKa.

(Thanks to Gerald Horne and Tony on the Actually Existing Socialism podcast for making me aware of this)

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