[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 14 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago)

In Florida, the alternative is a (very expensive) state-funded program that acts as an insurer of last resort. With so many insurance firms cutting their losses and leaving the market, though, I suspect that program is about to be severely overloaded, while many Floridians also find their homes suddenly unaffordable. If there's going to be a solution, it's going to have to come from the state, but given that the party in power there is still firmly committed to pretending climate change is a hoax, I wouldn't hold my breath. My guess is that there's going to be a lot of migration away from Florida and other Republican-dominated coastal states as issues with cost and availability of insurance force homeowners to make some hard financial decisions.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 10 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Along the lines of @AnonStoleMyPants -- the trouble with longtermism and effective altruism generally is that, unlike more established religion, it's become en vogue specifically amongst the billionaire class, specifically because it's essentially just a permission structure for them to hoard stacks of cash and prioritize the hypothetical needs of their preferred utopian vision of the future over the actual needs of the present. Religions tend to have a mechanism (tithing, zakat, mitzvah, dana, etc.) for redistributing wealth from the well-off members of the faith towards the needy in an immediate way. Said mechanism may often be suborned by the religious elite or unenforced by some sects, but at least it's there.

Unlike those religions, effective altruism specifically encourages wealthy people to keep their wealth to themselves, so that they can use their billionaire galaxy brains to more effectively direct that capital towards long-term good. If, as they see it, Mars colonies tomorrow will help more people than healthcare or UBI or solar farms will today, then they have not just a desire, but a moral obligation to spend their money designing Mars rockets instead of paying more taxes or building green infrastructure. And if having a longtermist in charge of said Mars colony will more effectively safeguard the future of those colonists, then by golly, they have a moral obligation to become the autocratic monarch of Mars! All the dirty poors desperate for help today aren't worth the resources relative to the net good possible by securing that utopian future they imagine.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 10 points 1 year ago

as a counterpoint, when the use-case for the tool is specifically "I want a picture that looks like it was painted by Greg Rutkowski, but I don't want to pay Greg Rutkowski to paint it for me" that sounds like the sort of scenario that copyright was specifically envisioned to protect against -- and if it doesn't protect against that, it's arguably an oversight in need of correction. It's in AI makers and users' interest to proactively self-regulate on this front, because if they don't somebody like Disney is going to wade into this at some point with expensive lobbyists, and dictate the law to their own benefit.

That said, it's working artists like Rutkowski, or friends of mine who scrape together a living off commissioned pieces, that I am most concerned for. Fantasy art like Greg makes, or personal character portraits of the sort you find on character sheets of long-running DnD games or as avatar images on forums like this one, make up the bread and butter of many small-time artists' work, and those commissions are the ones most endangered by the current state of the art in generative AI. It's great for would-be patrons that the cost of commissioning a mood piece for a campaign setting or a portrait of their fursona has suddenly dropped to basically zero, but it sucks for artists that their lunch is being eaten by an AI algorithm that was trained by slurping up all their work without compensation or even credit. For as long as artists need to get paid for their work in order to live, that's inherently anti-worker.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 14 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Because, frustratingly, Biden isn't the sort of LBJ-esque power player who can haul miserable DINOs like Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema into the Oval Office to threaten them with political death unless they fall into line with his agenda. The fact of the matter is that just like in Obama's first term, Democrats really only had control of Congress for two years, and by a margin so slim that they needed unanimity to actually advance rules changes in the Senate, let alone legislation. That meant that Biden's entire agenda was bottlenecked by two of the most worthless assholes in the whole party, people who are definitely guilty of the short-sighted political gamesmanship that you want to ascribe to the entire party. Their obstructionism meant that, because of Senate rules, there's only one chance or year to pass major legislation, and even then it has to ostensibly be budget-related.

Despite all that, Biden and the rest of the Democrats did manage to get major legislation on climate enacted, in the form of the Inflation Reduction Act. Was it the whole Green New Deal? No, Manchin the coal baron wasn't going to vote for that. But it's still major change in a positive direction. Your frustration that there hasn't been more is misdirected at the party generally, when it should be aimed at two senators in particular -- and the solution to that is not to throw up your hands and declare "both sides are the same!" It's to get out the vote for more progressive legislators to make those assholes politically irrelevant.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 15 points 1 year ago

the kid that was tracking his jet

The kid that was reposting public flight tracking data of his jet. He's so fucking petty.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 13 points 1 year ago

Speculations indicate that Navi 3.5 might enable integrated graphics with performance comparable to an Nvidia RTX 3070.

Uh huh. Given that the Radeon 780M that represents the current state of the art in Zen4 iGPUs is still trailing a discrete 3050 (by no means a strong performer itself) by about 30% on average, this seems wildly optimistic. Don't get me wrong, I would love a beastly iGPU, but this seems less like informed speculation and more like fanboy hype.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 11 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I'm about 99% certain that the image in the article is some AI-generated nightmare fuel. There's a link to the actual paper at the bottom of the article, and it has this figure showing a few example organoids, which are ~10mm across and look a bit like white mushrooms.

The ethical dilemma posed by a brain in a petri dish is an interesting hypothetical, but probably not one worth worrying about at this point. There's less brain tissue here than in the average lab mouse, with no sensory inputs and little differentiation relative to a real human brain. The neurons in the organoids are probably able to do as neurons do individually, but they lack the structure or infrastructure required for them to have basic awareness, let alone consciousness.

Organoids like these can be useful for in-vivo study of brain tissue without the ethical troubles of rooting around in somebody's head now, but that's about it. We're a very long way from growing a brain-in-a-jar and hooking it up to The Matrix.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 13 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

The more prosaic explanation -- bordering on "banality of evil," but still -- is that a story about a rickety overloaded fishing boat full of desperate war refugees sinking in the Mediterranean has become a fairly common occurrence in the years since the Arab Spring turned into a decade of civil wars, but whiz-bang private subs going missing while diving on the most famous shipwreck of all time is unusual. Horses vs. zebras and all that.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 10 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

There's nothing wrong with COTS equipment like the Camping World light that's been made much fun of. The controller either, at least in principle, though the idea of using this battery-powered wireless device specifically is maybe not smart. But the fact that the guy who built it is bragging about them as if he's pulled one over on Big Bathyscaphe should have been a red flag about the quality and safety factors built into the rest of the thing.

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 13 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I grew up in a church that was consciously literalist and held the Bible as inerrant. I'm no longer religious, but looking back with the blinders of those doctrines on, I have to wonder if I might still be a believer if those ideas hadn't been drilled into me.

I'm all on board with the Jesus of the Gospels; he seems like a pretty cool dude who didn't have any time for people in power exploiting the downtrodden. But the Old Testament, on the other hand, is a mess, and it includes passages casting God as a bloodthirsty murderer making the Pharoah resist Moses just so that he could send more plagues against Egypt, prophets speaking for God in the language of the abusive boyfriend who tells his partner that it's her fault that he's hurting her (basically every one of the prophets, but take Ezekiel 16 as a representative example), God guiding Joshua through an ethnic cleansing of Canaan, and God commanding the genocide of the Amalekites and then punishing King Saul for being insufficiently thorough about it.

Let's not even mention that weird bit of erotic literature that's tucked into the middle for some reason (and don't try to sell me on the idea that "Your breasts are like two fawns, twins of a gazelle" is a metaphor for anything other than really nice boobs)...

Then, on the other side of the coin, you have the letters of Paul where, when you look at it without bias, it's plainly clear that he's a religious conservative trying to pull the radical early church back into line with his own personal mores. Small wonder that hundreds of years later, when the church was The Church and falling into conservative patterns of orthodoxy, they picked the epistles they did to canonize as The Complete and Unerring Word of God...

[-] Thrashy@beehaw.org 10 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Sooner or later they're gonna run afoul of The Mouse, and then Mickey's gonna sic the (legal) Death Star on them. When that happens all these copyright/liability questions are going to get sorted out real fast, and probably not in a way that anybody but Disney will be happy with.

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Thrashy

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