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this post was submitted on 27 Aug 2024
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politics
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Dems almost won the house on an off year in 2022, there hasn't been a significant level of gerrymandering between then and now (just standard levels).
How could the democrats loose the house?
Voter suppression
Overconfidence in voters leading to low turn out.
Watch NY Dems fuck it up (again). More seriously I think it’s very likely that the presidency and the house will move in the same direction. Gerrymandering and the electoral college both favor the GOP in the same way. Even in 2016 when Dems won the popular vote by a mile, the GOP still took both the house and the presidency.
*lose
No no, the house is too tight.
It actually is thanks to the permanent apportionment act of 1929.
The size of Congress needs to increase with the increase in population. But it's been fixed at 435 for over 100 years even as the population has more than tripled and we've added two states.
Try the back door