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If it comes to the supreme court, its over. Harris needs a minimum of a two state win over Trump. That means she needs to pick up one or both AZ and NC, and PA. GA is out because its basically automatic recount fuckery.
There is another thread about this elsewhere, but way the table is set, it looks like Harris is on track to either a) lose outright, or b) lose at the SC.
On track based on what? Polling numbers? LOL.
The polling numbers are meaningless right now. Young people don't answer the phone for pollsters calling from unknown numbers. and people who voted for Trump in the past and have since realized they were conned and won't turn up to vote again are not going to have a chat with a pollster about who they'll vote for. So pollsters can't really assess the vote from the younger generation and everyone they talk to who voted for Trump in the past are going to say they're voting for him again or they wouldn't have answer the polls. Also consider women in religious community not wanted to be overheard saying they want to vote for Harris because of reproductive rights.
I don't fault pollsters, they're doing the best they can. But people talking about election predictions are just talking out their asses. This election is so far out the norm it's like asking a scientist to predict the behavior of an animal that was just discovered five minutes ago.
Yeah we'll just compare the data we're getting to the last time a convicted felon that's gone senile that had legal precedent overturned that resulted in people's rights taken away when a significant portion of the electorate has had their brains scrambled by social media that's run by a parodies of a James Bond villains. We've got so much empirical evidence we can use for a baseline for this, so we're absolutely certain what will happen!