[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world -2 points 1 hour ago

I'm checking silver bullets, Nate silvers blog.

538 isn't what it used to be. It had Biden winning when he was polling At 38%. You shouldn't rely on it.

He campaign has absolutely been a bummer and she's not winning this election at the moment. Lemmy has repeatedly gaslit itself into a delusional state around what is happening in reality and it seems to be happening again in regards to Kamala Harris performance. Gaslighting yourself at your own peril.

Lemmy is an echo chamber with mods who editorially filter the views they want to see. If you are relying on it for confirmation of your world view, you are in for a deep and upsetting shock. The perfect example of this was Biden, his performance, and his ability to win. Another even more recent example of this was Walzs performance in the debate (the question of if he won).

On polling, where we can actually have a conversation. Within the MOE is losing for a democratic candidate. Harris needs overwhelming numbers to account for existing and upcoming structural issues to the election. She doesn't have those, and her trajectory isn't up (like it was drying and immediately after the convention). It's going down, and that's terrible if you want to keep Trump out of office. It's because she's making the classic mistake Democrats always seem to make which is to start on the left but shift to the center.

Harris topped out in growing her support about 2 weeks after the convention and with every step to the right, she backslides further. If she continues the strategy she employed from the convention to now, she will 💯 lose this election.

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world -5 points 5 hours ago

Harris focusing on getting Republicans to vote for her when she's abandoned the uncommitted movement (who are are literally registered Democrats) represents a level of political malpractice well be discussing for decades to come.

Harris needs maybe 2-3% to get this over the hump and it's all there in voters who don't want a hot war in the Middle East and want to see Gazans respected as human beings the same way Israelis are.

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 4 points 6 hours ago

The worms gotta eat.

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 10 points 6 hours ago

I think something worth noting about older games too is that they didn't try and deal with many of their limitations head on. In fact many actually took advantage of their limitations to give the feeling of doing more than they actually were. For example, pixel perfect verus crt. Many 8 bit and 16 bit games were designed specifically for televisions and monitors that would create the effect of having more complexity than they were actually capable of. Other things like clever layout designs in games to limit draw distance, or bringing that in as a functional aspect of the game.

The technical limitations seem largely resolved by current technology, where previously things were made to look and feel better than the hardware allowed through clever planning and engineering.

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 9 points 6 hours ago

Exactly. The Supreme Court retroactively elevated the office of presidency to "something more", with the caveat that at the end of the day, they get to decide what qualifies as crime or not.

I wouldn't say that the office has become a kingship, but I don't know what else to call a leader unbound by law.

It's absolutely horse shit and we have no reason to accept it as a ruling.

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 16 points 6 hours ago

Don't forget the 26 billion we gave them before that, and the several billion a year weve been giving them for decades before that.

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 4 points 22 hours ago

I’m voting for the human candidate for president, I don’t think the AI one is up to the task.

Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos_bot

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 48 points 1 day ago

America's genocide

[-] TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world 74 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

First off, almost no meaningful data on the polling impact of something that happened last night is available literally hours later.

Second, both sets of numbers are ridiculously large enough to give whatever the source is added scrutiny.

A 23 point bump is, like those don't happen. If Biden instantly got a lasting peace in the Middle East he wouldn't get an overnight 23 point bump.

171
4

At one point in this weird nonsensical abortion they call life, I had a 64 Ford Econoline. It was the model that had 360 windows (the 8 door model). It was the most fun touring vehicle I've ever been in. Granted it only did 55 with the pedal to the metal (quite literally floored). The best vehicle I've ever owned. So great for doing back roads in. You could see EVERYTHING.

So the Canoo is going to have a 360 view and a full roof moon roof? Consider me sold for island driving. Come out and see me bruh you gonna get a tour of the island.

So has anyone bought a like.. gen 0 vehicle before? I've never owned a new car. And never from ab untested manufacturer. I'm just lucky to have this chanc.

Like, I expect deliveries to start in the next few months and I'm trying to set expectations for myself. Has any one here preordered an EV? Is this a mistake? Should I just get another leaf?

25

Are you making pizza this weekend??

If so what is your plan? What kind of dough or prep? What style? How are you going to bake it? Any changes from last time you made pizza?

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15

On Monday, flights at Beirut’s airport were canceled as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promised to carry out a “harsh” military attack on Lebanon, following Saturday’s deadly strike on a Syrian Druze community in the Israeli-occupied Golan town of Majdal Shams. The horrifying incident killed 12 children on a soccer field.

Israel and the U.S. immediately accused Hezbollah of hitting the town with a Falaq-1 rocket launched from southern Lebanon. Hezbollah has denied it was behind the attack and both it and the Lebanese government have called on the United Nations to undertake an independent investigation.

The way that blame for this incident unfolded publicly lends itself to competing theories of responsibility. Earlier Saturday, Hezbollah had announced it had launched a series of attacks on nearby Israeli military installations in retaliation for the killing of four Hezbollah fighters in an Israeli air strike in southern Lebanon. When news of the deaths at the soccer field began to emerge, Hezbollah swiftly issued a statement saying that it had “no connection to the [Majdal Shams] incident at all, and categorically denies all false allegations.” Hezbollah charged that an Israeli Iron Dome interceptor missile had missed its target and hit the town. Israel has claimed it identified the Hezbollah commander of the strike.

[continue...]

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submitted 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) by TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world to c/pizza@lemmy.world

Olive oil, garlic, nutmeg, Parmesan, mottz and basil.

I think I went half a cycle too long in the oven. I'm not sure the frequency of rotation but I want to get a timer in the pizza kitchen.

14
submitted 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) by TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world to c/pizza@lemmy.world

Hey all,

I modified my Qstove to take a pizza steel instead of engineered stone and am sharing the results here.

-41
421
-39

Key figure:

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submitted 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) by TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world to c/politics@lemmy.world

The federally appointed monitor tasked with overseeing the United Auto Workers, Neil Barofsky, is ratcheting up his conflict with UAW President Shawn Fain, announcing another investigation into the union leader who rose to national prominence amid the successful “Stand Up Strike” against the Big Three automakers.

Yet newly unveiled documents suggest Barofsky’s pursuit of Fain has less to do with concerns over union self-dealing and more to do with the politics of Israel-Palestine.

Barofsky was appointed in 2021 as the result of the Department of Justice-led consent decree put in place in lieu of prosecution of the union itself for rampant corruption, following prison sentences for two consecutive UAW presidents.

8

Some major Democratic donors have told the largest pro-Biden super PAC, Future Forward, that pledges worth roughly $90 million are now on hold if President Biden remains atop the ticket, according to two people who have been briefed on the conversations.

The frozen contributions include multiple eight-figure commitments, according to the two people, who spoke on the condition of anonymity given the sensitivity of the situation. The decision to withhold such enormous sums of money is one of the most concrete examples of the fallout from Mr. Biden’s poor debate performance at the end of June.

Future Forward declined to comment on any conversations with donors or the amounts of any pledged money being withheld. A Future Forward adviser would say only that the group expected contributors who had paused donations to return once the current uncertainty about the ticket was resolved.

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TropicalDingdong

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