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this post was submitted on 09 Nov 2024
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I recently saw gamers nexus' Intel tour. It was like seeing a sci-fi movie, it's incredible how advanced the stuff they do is. I also found it incredible how much it takes to build a chip... It takes about 2-3 months from wafer to chip.
After spending 3-4 years building the factory and even more time finding and training staff.
But, sure, tarriff the hell out of things that can't be made domestically for (optomistacally) half a decade. That'll certainly make it happen instantly...
/fucking morons.
I'm sorry, but you people talk about making state-of-the-art chips, while in many cases something like year 1990 will do. It'd be a very ambitious endeavor too, but both realistic and useful.
What they are doing will reduce economic competitiveness of the whole USA, but in terms of incentivizing domestic industries it will work. No miracles, but it will give incentives to what can be done quickly enough. And if we consider that electronics already are cheaper in US than in EU or in Eastern Europe, this won't be too bad.
I'm not a Trump fan. Just - what these people want to do is not without rational justification in economics. It's a weird justification, of the kind USSR's strategy of existence had, but then the reasons USSR failed were not in that part about self-reliance in strategic industries. One can argue it collapsed because it didn't really achieve that due to administrative inefficiency, as in "went bankrupt". It was exporting fossil fuels to finance the appearance of domestic heavy industries, which were not profitable. At some point that wasn't enough money.
It still takes time to spin up a chip fab, even one with 30 year old capabilities.
And, since nobody domestically makes the machinery needed, that too will be subject to the import tarrifs and probable delays caused by the ensuring trade war restrictions.