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I mean, outsourcing to SpaceX has been good for NASA so far, despite my distaste for Musk. The outsourcing to Boeing has been a shitshow.
A relationship between them without Trump and Musk in government has gone well. Once they both have their hands on the levers, I'm feeling it won't be as similar as before. In addition, NASA provides an enormous amount of tools and data to the environmental and climate sciences, and I can't imagine Trump will allow that to continue in its current form. I can only hope this guy will stand up to them if push comes to shove, like in Trump's first administration.
Isaacman seems like he’s not the type to be bullied around by Trump or even Musk, based on everything I’ve seen. I’d anything he’s the one who has got THEM on a leash.
If I were to predict what would happen, I bet we see a Hubble service mission awarded to SpaceX, and lunar EVA suits awarded to SpaceX. I don’t think even the NASA administrator can touch SLS, so that keeps going as-is. Surely there will be a big push to get boots on the moon again before the next election, but I don’t think it’s likely to happen.
The problem is that people who stand up to Trump don't last long. It's far worse if Trump perceives he's the one being controlled like he's "on a leash".
That's why Trump had such a massive staff turnover in his first term. For example, over 90% of his original cabinet were fired or pressured out.
On top of that, many of Trump's picks were imprisoned or indicted. So the odds aren't good that his people will do the right thing.
It's already looking to be far worse this time, especially given the corruption we've already seen from him since winning the election, and before he's even in power.