After 15 months of genocide - and resistance to it - the Israeli regime realized that they could not win a military victory against Hamas, and were forced to sign a humiliating ceasefire in order to get their hostages returned.
With much of Syria under the control of Al-Qaeda, and an increasing level of covert infiltration into Lebanon, the crisis in the Middle East is not over, and we may still be in its beginning stages, as the center of hegemony continues its gradual shift away from the United States. Their navy, once considered the best in the world, is likely also not very happy about their ships and aircraft carriers being forced to retreat by Yemen, one of the poorest countries; and all eyes are on Iran, who has, over the last year and a half, demonstrated a newfound confidence and strength to directly strike Israel.
The recovery for Gaza will take, at a minimum, decades; it could indeed never fully recovery to even how it was before, considering it is not in Israel's interests to see their concentration camps recover. But Hamas has proven to be steadfast and the tunnel network has proven its resilience, despite facing some of the most powerful conventional bombing in history. This shows that Palestine's liberation is a when, not an if; and hopefully a much sooner "when" than expected before October 7th.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
I'd be interested to hear what y'alls analysis of the situation is and what you expect to happen in the next 3-12 months.
Trump has so far
All in all I'd say my evaluation that he'd be better than Kamala on foreign policy (not out of a kind heart, but out of being a big Doofus) and the devil domestically was correct. As contradictions heighten I think we'll see events that make the summer of 2020 look like a warm-up.
Not downplaying what is happening, but a lot of what I see reported about domestic issues isn't really more than what was already developing, it's just getting attention now that the libs are in opposition. Though the persecution of queer people is wild and I had not predicted Elon doing the sieg heil nor the corporate pullback from many institutions that ensured some safety for minorities.
That's scary. I'm lucky I don't live in the us (haven't for years).
From a personal perspective, the Greenland stuff scares me. I've got danish family, until recently I lived in Denmark. I'd like to go back someday.
I understand that Trump and his fucking coterie of failchildren can obviously effect policies of the U.S as individuals, but what is the point of annexing Greenland, Canada,etc.? What is the benefit for business interests? Is there really that many barriers for US capital in Canada and Denmark to warrant the Victoria 2 infamy points from doing this?
Access to the Arctic Ocean once all the ice melts by 2040, to compete with Russia.
If you look at the Earth from top down, it will become much clearer:
Right now, they only have a small section of shoreline in Alaska, less than Europe, and that is simply not enough for the empire.
I understand the contest for the Arctic. But Denmark and, I'd imagine, Canada are already willing to gut their own nations and ramp up military spending to maintain in good standing as vassals of the empire.
That's not enough for them, just check out the section "American goals of acquisition" on NATOpedia, to get an idea of what the empire is thinking:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proposals_for_the_United_States_to_purchase_Greenland
Plenty of sources cited there. They clearly don't trust Denmark to do enough to keep the Arctic in check, and in particular, they fear Greenland becoming independent and subsequently becoming friendly with Russia or China.
Wow, this isn't the expansion of a "healthy" empire, this is cannibalization. One would hope that this would lead to a left anti-atlantacist surge in Europe but, judging from recent politics there, it looks like the response to American imperialism in Europe is fascism.
Canada refuses to declare its arctic waters as international waters. It is one of the few things the Canadian state has been divergent from the us capital wishes.
Kinda cool how Iceland is just right at the edge of the Arctic circle.
How fucked are we if the ice melts though? Like aren't entire cities going to be flooded
Europe gets a new ice age. And the Greenland icecap crossed the point of no return two years ago. Yay.