147

Image is of many Hamas soldiers supervising the handing over of Israeli hostages to cars heading out of the Gaza Strip.

After 15 months of genocide - and resistance to it - the Israeli regime realized that they could not win a military victory against Hamas, and were forced to sign a humiliating ceasefire in order to get their hostages returned.

With much of Syria under the control of Al-Qaeda, and an increasing level of covert infiltration into Lebanon, the crisis in the Middle East is not over, and we may still be in its beginning stages, as the center of hegemony continues its gradual shift away from the United States. Their navy, once considered the best in the world, is likely also not very happy about their ships and aircraft carriers being forced to retreat by Yemen, one of the poorest countries; and all eyes are on Iran, who has, over the last year and a half, demonstrated a newfound confidence and strength to directly strike Israel.

The recovery for Gaza will take, at a minimum, decades; it could indeed never fully recovery to even how it was before, considering it is not in Israel's interests to see their concentration camps recover. But Hamas has proven to be steadfast and the tunnel network has proven its resilience, despite facing some of the most powerful conventional bombing in history. This shows that Palestine's liberation is a when, not an if; and hopefully a much sooner "when" than expected before October 7th.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 93 points 3 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

I can tell you're all excited about inauguration shitposting and so as a treat I will not remove all these not newsworthy posts. Get it out of your system now as tomorrow we will be back to our usual schedule of mod tyranny. Also, everyone shitposting now had better be thinking about what useful content they can bring to the thread later in the week.

edit: I encourage those shitposting on this blessed day to join the imperialism book club

Edit 2: it is now tomorrow. mod tyranny is back on the menu

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[-] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 61 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

HEAR YEA

HEAR YEA

I, the resident town crier am here to screm at the top of my lungs at the crack of dawn that the 72T Imperialist Book Club has kicked off and people are dropping their analysis' like it's hot

CLICK HERE AND LET YOUR BRAIN FEAST ON THIS MOST SUMPTUOUS KNOWLEDGE SO THAT IT CAN GROW BIG AND STRONG LIKE THE FICTICIOUS HORSE!

The News Megathread Imperialism Reading Group: Week 1 - January 13th to January 19th, 2025

IGNORE THE FACT IT IS THE 20TH AND GO READ YHROUGJ THE THRED

CLICK HERE FOR HOT MARRIED REVOLUTIONARIES WRITING ECONOMIC ESSAYS WEEK 2

The News Megathread Imperialism Reading Group: Week 2 - January 20th to January 26th, 2025

[-] sexywheat@hexbear.net 17 points 2 hours ago

Constitutional amendment to allow Trump third term introduced in the House

A Republican House member introduced a resolution to amend the U.S. Constitution to allow President Donald Trump — and any other future president — to be elected to serve a third term.

[-] borschtisgarbo@lemmygrad.ml 9 points 1 hour ago

He'll be dead by then

[-] CthulhusIntern@hexbear.net 19 points 3 hours ago

Am I understanding correctly that if the Supreme Court upholds the executive order removing birthright citizenship, it would basically allow the president to modify the Constitution via executive order, it would pretty much be the new Enabling Act?

[-] CarmineCatboy2@hexbear.net 2 points 59 minutes ago

The Supreme Court got into the habit of adding a 'this decision is only valid for this instance so nuh uh no problems in the future sir' asterisk. This means it retains the power to do everything on a case by case basis.

[-] newmou@hexbear.net 9 points 2 hours ago

Idk, I would assume it would be a case by case thing still, unless lower courts affirmed whatever future thing fell under that umbrella

[-] sisatici@hexbear.net 11 points 3 hours ago
[-] TheGenderWitch@hexbear.net 8 points 1 hour ago

this isn't good, shanghai is a liberal stronghold, anything they will do is to undermine the socialist project

[-] wtypstanaccount04@hexbear.net 11 points 2 hours ago

The fact that it's coming from Shanghai seems like a very bad sign

[-] sexywheat@hexbear.net 28 points 4 hours ago
[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 25 points 6 hours ago

Meta genai org in panic mode

It started with deepseek v3, which rendered the Llama 4 already behind in benchmarks. Adding insult to injury was the "unknown Chinese company with 5..5 million training budget"

Engineers are moving frantically to dissect deepsek and copy anything and everything we can from it. I'm not even exaggerating

Management is worried about justifying the massive cost of gen ai org. How would they face the leadership when every single "leader" of gen ai org is making more than what it cost to trained deepseek v3 entirely, and we have dozens of such "leaders"

Deepseek r1 made things even scarier. I can't reveal confidential info but it'll be soon public anyways

It should have been an engineering focused small org but since a bunch of people wanted to join the impact grab and artificially inflate hiring in the org, everyone loses

https://www.teamblind.com/post/Meta-genai-org-in-panic-mode-KccnF41n

[-] companero@hexbear.net 16 points 5 hours ago

Really funny to watch Zucc keep jumping on hype trains and failing spectacularly every time antelope-popcorn

[-] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 11 points 5 hours ago
[-] RaisedFistJoker@hexbear.net 24 points 5 hours ago

chinese company made an "ai" on par with the western models for a fraction of the cost

[-] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 17 points 5 hours ago
[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 18 points 5 hours ago* (last edited 5 hours ago)

Chinese generative AI is outperforming big companies in the West and at a much lower cost and some even provided the service for free at this stage (Alibaba Wanx for example is outperforming OpenAI’s Sora by a mile, although I suspect some serious tweaking was involved since I’ve seen people showcasing more or less the similar examples)

However, long term this is a scary prospect because the internet is going to be polluted with generative AI content with the cost trending downward at a rapid pace. It appears that there is no way to stop the internet from being populated with fake content in the future, as the AI training itself has already run out of real human-made content to train on and has started to devour on generated content now, which can only lead to further degradation of the ground truth and substantial loss in accuracy.

[-] miz@hexbear.net 13 points 4 hours ago
[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 21 points 6 hours ago* (last edited 6 hours ago)

Saudi Arabia plans $600 billion in new US investment, trade over four years

In a phone call between the two leaders, the crown prince said the Trump administration's expected reforms could create "unprecedented economic prosperity", the state news agency reported.

The report said Saudi Arabia wants its investments to capitalize on these conditions. It did not detail the source of the $600 billion, whether it would be public or private spending nor how the money would be deployed.

Trump said following his inauguration on Monday that he would consider making Saudi Arabia his first destination for a foreign visit if Riyadh agreed to buy $500 billion worth of American products, similar to what he did in his first term.

"I did it with Saudi Arabia last time because they agreed to buy $450 billion worth of our product. I said I'll do it but you have to buy American product, and they agreed to do that," Trump said, referring to his 2017 visit to the Gulf kingdom.

Remember when we all naively believed that the US confiscating $300 billion of Russia’s foreign reserves was going to “break the trust” in the dollar and leading to the world abandoning them?

Remember when people thought that Saudi Arabia was looking to abandon the so-called “petrodollar” and the US dollar is somehow going to collapse from it?

What we have learned since is that foreign holdings of US Treasuries soared to all-time peak in 2024, more than two years after the incredible sanctions against Russia.

This is what I have been saying since a couple years back: the dollar was at its weakest when the Fed under Biden first raised its interest rate back in 2022 to “fight inflation” - but if nobody was seizing the opportunity to provide an alternative, it is only a matter of time before the treasuries mature and huge interest payout reverses the flow of the dollar back to the foreign sector once again.

And here we are, with the dollar primacy strengthened not weakened after nearly three years of “recklessly” confiscating hundreds of billions of foreign assets. This should disillusion anyone who still thinks the dollar is built on “trust” or “reputation” rather than through coercion. The harvest phase is over, and the consolidation phase has begun.

[-] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 16 points 5 hours ago* (last edited 5 hours ago)

The opportunity came and went during 2022, and wasn't taken, this was made clear during the BRICS summit. For whatever reason, it was decided that de-dollarisation was not to be pursued then. That means that this is the future until the next opportunity presents itself, and then the question will again remain if the opportunity will be taken.

The big reason why I believe it wasn't taken is the failure to get Europe onboard and break them away from the US security and economic system. Europe appears to be the key, without some kind of Brussels - Moscow - Beijing alliance, it seems that we are stuck. As long as Europe remains in the US fold, this is the way it will be. Samir Amin wrote about how the key to achieving the start of a true multipolar/polycentric world is such an alliance.

[-] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 10 points 4 hours ago

Honestly I don’t see how Europe can even be considered as part of the equation given their fervent support for Ukraine i.e. wanting to carve Russia out for themselves and further their colonialist expansion into the periphery.

So giving Europe a major say in the alternative bloc will simply perpetuate the same neocolonial exploitation of the Global South except without the US, and not to mention that the EU/eurozone model is fundamentally a neoliberal conception that would be incompatible with a socialist bloc of the Global Majority that seeks to emancipate themselves from Western imperialism.

More than that, I don’t see the necessity of Europe in this except as a big consumer base to take in the exports of the Global South (and maybe some of their patented technology), but China can easily fill that role if they ever decide to give up on their super-exporter status and run a more balanced trade.

It won’t be the first time I said it but only China’s economy is large enough to take on that transformative role.

[-] Socialism_Is_The_Alternative@hexbear.net 15 points 7 hours ago* (last edited 7 hours ago)

Today’s news from the Donbass.

Russian forces advanced inside the central area of the partially Kiev-occupied DPR town of Velikaya Novosyolka, fully encircling a pocket of Kiev regime troops in the settlement’s southern half. Kiev regime troops in the town’s northern half are also mostly encircled and under close fire control (map and 18+ videos included): https://southfront.press/ukrainian-garrison-divided-and-surrounded-in-velyka-novoselka-russians-gave-time-to-surrender-18/

More Ukrainian soldiers continue joining the Russian military to fight against the Kiev regime: https://odysee.com/@Support4Z:b/%F0%9F%93%BD%EF%B8%8F-A-%F0%9F%87%AC%F0%9F%87%A7-%F0%9F%87%AB%F0%9F%87%B7,--A-group-of-Ukie-soldiers-defects-and-joins-the-Russian-army!!:4

Kiev regime Rada deputy Alexander Dubinsky stated that Zelensky does not have more than 280,000 troops left: https://tass.com/world/1902927

Russian shooting champion Anna Taranosova came to the front to help train troops on shooting down enemy drones: https://news-pravda.com/world/2025/01/23/1001537.html

The US Congress passes the Laken Riley Act and Trump will likely sign it. This allows states to push US immigration policy right as well as requiring the DHS to detain legal immigrants accused of certain crimes.

https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/senate-bill/5

[-] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 35 points 11 hours ago

I suspect the broad strokes of this story are well known to long time newsheads, but here is a well sourced story on past and potential peace options for ukraine v Russia. If you are new to the news or are looking for something sharable to the libs in your life then this is a good one

https://www.readthemaple.com/who-will-win-the-peace-in-ukraine/

[-] DeeEmCeeTooBestGaem@hexbear.net 49 points 13 hours ago

Donald Trump says he wants nuclear talks with China, Russia

“Tremendous amounts of money are being spent on nuclear, and the destructive capability is something that we don’t even want to talk about,” Trump told World Economic Forum attendees in Davos during a video address, while also stressing the war in Ukraine needed to end soon.

The president said he had pushed for nuclear arms cuts in his first term. “So we want to see if we can denuclearize, and I think that’s very possible. And I can tell you that President Putin wanted to do it. He and I wanted to do it. We had a good conversation with China, they would have been involved, and that would have been an unbelievable thing for the planet.”

The big wet boy really wants his Nobel Peace Prize, huh?

[-] Maturin@hexbear.net 29 points 9 hours ago

The president said he had pushed for nuclear arms cuts in his first term.

Is that what he calls ending the Intermediate Nuclear Forces Treaty with Russia and the Iran nuclear deal? American leaders can just say anything and it gets reported and consumed with absolutely no context whatsoever.

[-] Torenico@hexbear.net 20 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

I HATE IT WHEN HE FUCKING SAYS "NUCLEAR" HE DOESN'T KNOW HOW TO SPEAK OMG

"I LOVE NUCLEAR"

NUCLEAR WHAT MOTHERFUCKER????

[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 27 points 12 hours ago

No fucking way this happens, the MIC wants its nukes

[-] MidnightPocket@hexbear.net 5 points 5 hours ago

I imagine he just wants to convince other powers to disarm while furtively keeping US stockpiles.

[-] plinky@hexbear.net 29 points 12 hours ago

us benefits from nuclear reduction, as the hegemonic power. They would happily denuclearize the world, maybe even honestly do it themselves.

[-] combat_doomerism@hexbear.net 33 points 12 hours ago

wut. last presidency every other week he would suggest using nukes on someone, there's no way this lasts

[-] SupFBI@hexbear.net 41 points 12 hours ago

More importantly, the US is not an honest negotiator.

[-] plinky@hexbear.net 42 points 13 hours ago* (last edited 12 hours ago)

https://earth.nullschool.net/#2025%2F01%2F24%2F0300Z%2Fwind%2Fsurface%2Flevel%2Forthographic=-6.31%2C53.26%2C4382

eire about to experience a storm tomorrow morning, stay safe conrades

*wait, the link breaks over time?

60-100 km winds over nearly whole ireland

[-] someone@hexbear.net 9 points 8 hours ago

I'm not a trained meteorologist but I've often wondered if Ireland is going to bear the brunt of a lot of climate change effects, more than most other European countries. They're on the front lines so to speak.

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[-] IceWallowCum@hexbear.net 59 points 14 hours ago

Just so we're on the same page - we're 100% watching the start of american labor camps for illegal immigrants, right?

When do you'll think we'll get the first official facility? Will it be state run or private? Will it stem from prisons, due to that new law (accused of robbery in the last 10 years)?

Legal as well

[-] junebug2@hexbear.net 20 points 11 hours ago

i’ve been seeing it as a justification for massively expanding deportations. While imprisoning large numbers of people who lack formal protections would probably extend the lifespan of capitalism and the current settler system in the USA, there aren’t enough prison spaces for the citizen prisoners. There also isn’t enough bourgeois unity on the issue. A little over a decade ago, California was federally court ordered to shed prisoners because they had people triple bunked. Prison populations are only down like 30,000 since then, and i don’t believe we have built any new prisons. One of the many hellish propositions my neighbors agreed to last November was bringing back three strike laws for theft and drug offenses. i was able to successfully persuade “conservative” people that the prop was a bad idea because we would need to foot the bill for multiple new jails.

i understand that in many parts of USamerica there is a long history of using incarcerated slave labor for agriculture. In California, it’s not that i think any of the government officials are like, morally opposed to it, it just doesn’t make sense logistically. We are already going to be stuffing the jails full of shoplifters and narcotics possessors. What’s more, things like picking strawberries and pruning grapes are actually highly skilled tasks. Like, where i live grows a lot of strawberries, and they have tried to build robot pickers (not delicate enough to grab, too much dirt in the field) and training/ hiring US citizens who were veterans or unhoused or ex-felons (they were too slow/ couldn’t hack it). Now part of that is because pickers are overworked and underpaid, but you cannot pull someone off the street and then expect them to be able to fill ten flats an hour.

The only Ag Barons who would agree to have their disposable labor that can’t ask for help from local services because of language barriers and government indifference taken away in exchange for government supervised contractors with paperwork would have to be so racist they couldn’t understand profit. It’ll be a battle between the people who actually run farms or otherwise abuse migrant labor and people who delusionally think that the slur-named deportation operation from the 50s could be pulled off again tomorrow.

[-] YEP@hexbear.net 27 points 12 hours ago

I think it will just subsume into the current prison industrial slave labor cohort. The application of that labor will probably broaden to fill the gaps.

I mean there was a law in the bush era in one of the southern states going after undocumented laborers and agri businesses had to shut it down. Forget where it was. But it was dog catching the car moment that hit the wall of capital interests.

[-] SoyViking@hexbear.net 38 points 13 hours ago

Denmark Bows to US Demands, Ramps Up Military Spending

Denmark's regime is turning a big dial that says "military spending" on it and constantly looking back towards Washington for approval like a contestant on the price is right.

Denmark’s Social Democrat-led regime has unveiled plans for another hike in military spending, promising "massive investments" that will "make a big dent" in the economy. Troels Lund Poulsen, head of the Liberal Party-controlled Ministry of Defence and party chairman, declared the need to “strengthen the bulwark,” though his bombast conceals the true aim: appeasing Washington and its erratic far-right supreme leader leader Donald Trump, rather than countering Russia.

Last year at his party's congress, Poulsen demanded an additional DKK 300 billion by 2033, atop a DKK 200 billion boost already agreed upon. Now, without offering specifics, he hints at even greater spending, citing Arctic militarization as a necessity. Although he won't be specific, Poulsen is promising Danes that "large and tough economic prioritizations" lies ahead.

Although the regime is invoking a non-specified Russian menace, this frenzy most likely stems from Trump’s obsession with Greenland and accusations that Denmark’s Arctic defences are inadequate to fend off Russia and China. Instead of resisting American pressure, Danish leaders mimic NATO’s calls for escalation, with Poulsen declaring the Arctic no longer a “low-tension area.”

The "Will to victory"

Denmark’s political elite, led by Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen, remains blindly loyal to American demands. Frederiksen’s recent New Year’s speech, full of faux-folkish sentimental platitudes and celebrity name-dropping, stated that the world was getting more dangerous and reserved that "it would be expensive" before she called for the “will to victory” in response to the claimed Russian menace with no mention of diplomacy or alternatives to militarization. Meanwhile, state and corporate media dutifully amplifies the regime’s agenda, drowning out dissent and leaving the public convinced that the military buildup is necessary as public funds are funnelled into expensive American weapons, leaving schools, welfare, and the cost-of-living crisis unaddressed.

Critics within the political elite quibble over details rather than question the premise. Neoliberal and libertarian factions wants more details on the costing of the proposed spending and wants to wait for the American NATO pact to issue its dictates for Danish military capabilities before committing, but none challenge the militaristic fervor or suggest de-escalation.

The Price of Subservience

With the American NATO pact's figurehead recently demanding that American satellite states reserves 3.7% of GDP for the military and Trump’s ludicrous 5% target looming, Denmark appears eager to sacrifice its economy to imperialist ambitions. Poulsen openly acknowledges the “tough” sacrifices civilians must endure, prioritizing Arctic militarization over domestic welfare. Denmark’s leaders seem trapped in a delusional loyalty to Washington, leaving ordinary Danes to bear the cost of their fanatical Atlanticism.

[-] CyborgMarx@hexbear.net 4 points 5 hours ago

A good dog obeys

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