this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2025
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Image is sourced from this Economist article.

Most of the information in this preamble is from the Cradle; notably here, here, here, and here.


The features of an effective American war (proxy or otherwise) is that it is a) against opponents with much less military power than you; b) with very low American losses; c) with victories you can visibly show off from time to time to justify involvement, and d) with a profit margin beyond merely giving money to military corporations. The war against Yemen was none of those; airplanes tumbled off aircraft carriers, and the navy complained of the hardest fighting conditions in decades. Conquering Yemen for its resources was inconceivable given the terrain, lack of good intelligence, and the strength of Ansarallah, and all that seemed to be visibly harmed were empty patches of desert and civilians.

Apparently, the ceasefire last month merely stipulated that they stop attacking merchant vessels in the Red Sea; it said nothing about attacking Israel. Therefore, Yemen is absolutely free to create a new blockade of Israel by just striking their airports and seaports, and all Israel can seem to do is try and bomb them in retaliation, a futile strategy which has failed to produce a military or political change in Yemen for the last decade when many other countries have tried it. And if America directly attacks them in response to attacks on Israel, the ceasefire is off, and expensive equipment will continue to be lost.

Across the strait from Yemen is an interesting array of countries. Egypt's position in this war is well-known, and Somalia is under a kind of US occupation under the guise of fighting terrorism (Trump withdrew most troops, but they were then sent back under Biden). The other three are Sudan, Djibouti, and Eritrea. All three are increasingly being drawn into the anti-imperialist camp, as they cooperate with Iran, Russia, and/or China. Sudan is undergoing a civil war, but the rebels fighting the government are famously backed by the UAE. Djibouti has refused to allow themselves to be a launchpad for US strikes on Yemen.

Eritrea has a fascinating history of flip-flopping between West and East over the past few decades, but has, since 2020, sided with the East. It was one of the five countries to oppose the 2022 UN resolution condemning Russia's war with Ukraine. Eritrea sends two thirds of its exports to China, and Iran has reportedly supplied them with military equipment. If a stronger link could be reforged, then Iran would have significantly less trouble sending military technology to Ansarallah, and to other friendly groups throughout the region.

Naturally, the lidless eye of the imperial core is shifting its gaze onto Eritrea. Meanwhile, Ethiopia - a country that has experienced frequent conflict with Eritrea - is part of BRICS+ and their economy is increasingly reliant on China (as is most countries' economies nowadays). If a permanent resolution between the two could be created, it would be a victory for themselves and the Resistance, and a defeat for America, which thrives on conflict and destabilization.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 37 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Petro Alleges Far-Right International Plot to Assassinate Him - Telesur English

Article

Colombian President Gustavo Petro accuses far-right groups and criminal networks of plotting to assassinate him and promises to expose those responsible.

Colombian President Gustavo Petro has once again raised alarms about attempts to assassinate him, accusing far-right groups both in Colombia and the United States of orchestrating deadly plots.

Petro’s warnings come amid a tense political climate in Colombia, where the president has faced continuous opposition from powerful drug trafficking networks and extreme right-wing factions since taking office in 2022.

On social media platform X (formerly Twitter), Petro wrote, “Far-right allies have tried to kill me about 17 times during my government. Their posts only express hatred and their wish to see me dead.” These posts, known locally as “trinos,” often convey intense political hostility.

The most recent alarm was raised after authorities found an anti-tank rocket near the presidential palace, Casa de Nariño, in Bogotá. Although officials claimed the weapon was obsolete and had been discarded by a civilian, Petro rejected this explanation. “I don’t know what the anti-tank weapons were meant for, and I don’t trust the police version,” he stated. He also condemned members of the National Police for allegedly hiding the discovery, calling it “perhaps more serious than the weapon itself.”

Petro warned that “several meetings are being held to coordinate attacks” against him. He stressed, “Within the mafia-linked far right, the order has been given. My protection comes from the people.” Additionally, the president announced plans to reveal the identities of those behind these conspiracies.

This is not the first time Petro has spoken out about threats to his life. Since assuming office, he has repeatedly denounced assassination attempts linked to far-right groups and transnational drug trafficking mafias. He accused an international far-right alliance of “Colombian Nazis and North American Nazis” as responsible for ongoing plots against him.

Petro also criticized Guatemala’s Public Ministry after it issued arrest warrants against Colombia’s Attorney General Luz Adriana Camargo and former Defense Minister Iván Velásquez. He described the move as part of a “plot by the Guatemalan far right: Nazi, genocidal, deeply involved in narcotrafficking, with the help of Colombian stateless Nazis.” Both officials face Interpol red notices on charges such as obstruction of justice, although Guatemala has rejected the legal basis of these accusations.

The president recalled that in 2024, the U.S. Embassy in Bogotá warned him of a plot to assassinate him on Colombia’s Independence Day, July 20. Later that year, during the COP16 biodiversity summit in Cali, he avoided detection after two surface-to-air missiles (SAM-16) were smuggled into the country as part of a planned attack.

Petro blames these assassination attempts on a transnational criminal organization he calls the “narcotrafficking board,” allegedly based in Abu Dhabi and composed of mafiosos from multiple countries. According to him, this group controls prosecutors, the National Police, and the port of Buenaventura through Colombia’s Attorney General’s Technical Investigation Corps.

He also accused this group of orchestrating the 2022 murder of Paraguayan prosecutor Marcelo Pecci in Cartagena, asserting that Colombia’s Attorney General’s Office covered up the crime.

Since taking office, Petro has consistently highlighted the volatile political climate in Colombia and the ongoing threats to his life, underscoring the deep challenges the country faces amid its struggle against corruption and organized crime.

[–] jack@hexbear.net 23 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Petro, you and Morales NEED TO DO REVOLUTIONS

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 18 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 children)

All Pink Tide regimes should have followed the example of Mexico, Honduras, and Venezuela (Nicaragua showed that there is literally no reason to pretend to be a liberal democracy when right-wing liberals and conservatives continue to try to overthrow the goverment).

Also purge the rulling parties/coalition from right-wingers.

[–] KnownUnknownKnower@hexbear.net 11 points 3 days ago (1 children)

The primary failure of the pink tide and why the project as a whole didn’t succeed.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 11 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago) (1 children)

I would say that the main failure was that the Pink Tide governments (at least the first wave) relied too much on the US and in the end the US did everything possible to sabotage even the liberal governments of Latin America (I guess we have people like Hillary Clinton, Condoleezza Rice and John Bolton, plus Bush, Obama, Trump and Biden to thank for that), and that led to the death of Unasur.

The second failure was the fact that some parties did not purge their ranks of opportunists and wreckers and that ended up leading to betrayals and the death of those parties. The failure of the second pink wave (Argentina, Chile, Peru, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia and Guatemala) is that the socdems simply did nothing besides the basics and continue the unpopular neoliberal agenda that already existed in the country (You could argue that Argentina was pressured by the IMF and US to pay its debt, that covid screwed Bolivia, and that the far right congress is pressuring Brazil, Colombia and Guatemala but idk, they control the executive and could have done more, but I guess no one wants to end up like Pedro Castillo).

Morena in Mexico was very smart (doing what the people really wanted) and has control of the Executive, Legislative and now the Judiciary, the Pro-Establishment Center-Left party basically dissolved so Morena has no competition on the left. The PSUV in Venezuela kicked out all the anti-Chavistas from the liberal and conservative parties (that are allied to the government) and the Communist Party of Venezuela (and its satellite parties). The Sandinistas in Nicaragua actually had an agreement with the US to let the US train the Nicaraguan Armed Forces and use their bases, and also to maintain relations with Taiwan, until Biden out of fucking nowhere decided to attack Nicaragua, so the Sandinistas stopped pretending to be a liberal democracy and kicked the right-wingers out of there.

I guess one good thing with the failure of these social democratic governments is that the radical left gains more influence as the far right governments that get elected become really unpopular as they can't fix anything that really matters. But my problem with this is that such far right governments will not want to lose power, and unlike the social democrats, will take extreme measures to make sure they never lose power, be it a coup d'etat (as was the case in Peru and Brazil) or electoral fraud (case of Ecuador).

[–] KnownUnknownKnower@hexbear.net 11 points 2 days ago

Don’t reliance on the US and a lack of will to purge liberals and compradors come from the same root? You’re entirely correct

[–] CascadeOfLight@hexbear.net 15 points 3 days ago

YOU HAVE THE INTERIOR MINISTRY

COUP YOURSELF

[–] vovchik_ilich@hexbear.net 8 points 2 days ago

"Progressive leader threatened by international far right assassination plot" is our bread and butter sadly