this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2026
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[–] Evilphd666@hexbear.net 32 points 3 days ago (2 children)

Are we close to the bubble burst? Seems like seed money / debt derivatives are drying up.

[–] chgxvjh@hexbear.net 16 points 3 days ago

They need a next big thing to move on. This shit won't burst without several big players divesting at the same time.

[–] Lussy@hexbear.net 13 points 3 days ago (2 children)

The capitalist class is way too hooked on the AI sauce for the bubble to burst. They’re all in on this endeavor, which literally spells doom for humanity but I really think we will all die before this bubble truly bursts.

[–] red_giant@hexbear.net 28 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I think the fact we are seeing Anthropic and OpenAI race to IPO, the SpaceX IPO presenting SpaceX as an AI company and not a rocket company, and Google selling stock to fundraise for AI… I think all this heralds we are reaching the peak.

The people most directly in the know are absolutely speeding towards their financial exit.

[–] Lussy@hexbear.net 3 points 3 days ago (1 children)

I think all this heralds we are reaching the peak.

I’m not sure I follow why you think what you said preceding this means we’ve reached the peak…

[–] red_giant@hexbear.net 11 points 3 days ago

Like, it looks like they want to cash out basically.

Going public means they can sell shares and take profit. Convert the hype into cash.

If you believe in the profit potential of AI, then you can argue they’re going public in order to fund additional investment in building data centers.

But if you’re skeptical of its long term profitability and / or you’re skeptical about this being a “winner takes all” market, then it looks like they’re simply cashing in their chips now before the hype breaks.

I am skeptical about it - on both counts, I think models are going to remain very expensive to operate so will have limited use-cases that are truly viable, and I think this won’t be a “winner takes all” market since the models are essentially interchangeable with each other in a way that end-users can struggle to even notice, so it starts to look more like a low margin commodity.

I think the insiders have also reached this conclusion. There are hints of this.

eg Microsoft raising their token prices means they’re now much less willing to subsidize usage in order to win market share.

Another example of how xAI / SpaceX are now actually leasing their compute time to Anthropic, which is profoundly weird business strategy to adopt - if they believe in Grok as a product - since they should be a direct competitor.

[–] Chana@hexbear.net 16 points 3 days ago

I mean they will literally go bankrupt if they start paying the true price, not the financialized tech monopoly seeking price. Even if the CEOs are AI-brained, forcing it on their businesses will fail.