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The MTG resignation is just such a fucking unforced L on her part. Like, she had the right rallying around her. She could have been their Coo-coo-for-coco-puffs replacement for when the cholesterol eventually does its job. She probably could even have bilked over the remaining TYT and Jimmy Dore fans to her cause.
But at the end of the day I think its about Trump and loyalty to Trump. We're seeing it across primaries too; the reality is that actually, the "MAGA" part of MAGA aren't particularly engaged in electoralism. "America First" represented expanded voter-ship into demographics which didn't typically vote; so its not particularly surprising when they don't vote in mid-terms. And if you follow RW media, Trump has fallen quite far out of favor, although you'll see much mental gymnast-icking. And you see it in the exit data on the mid term primaries. Democrats are out-showing-up Republicans 2:1, compared to typical turnout.
So there are a few things going on:
1: Trump is still firmly in control of the party.
2: The party is falling out of favor with their activist base.
3: Republican equivalent of ABWD are still showing up, but the part of the Republican party that put Trump into power appears to have lost interest largely because of US support for Israel and the war in Iran.
This all points further to support the thesis that Trump won't allow free and fair elections. Because there is a real divide within MAGA/ America First right now.
She wanted a Senate run and Trump wouldn't endorse her. Her moves since that and the Epstein stuff are out of spite for him and she's coordinating with other Republicans as to not hurt their cause as a whole and burn bridges. She's not gone yet unfortunately.