this post was submitted on 23 Jun 2026
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Every day it's looking more and more like Crimea might be the first oblast to be liberated.
Ukraine is working on completely cutting off the southern front from supply routes. Eventually the troops along the southern front are going to suffer from lack of supplies. Without food, ammo etc, they will be have to retreat back or be easily overrun in their weakened state. Crimea is being cut off so that if the Russian troops retreat, they head east not south.
It's not going to happen immediately, but if Ukraine keeps up the current pressure by this fall might be very interesting.