this post was submitted on 16 Nov 2025
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Down 14% in the last month. Still way above its actual value (0) but headed in that direction.

I'm guessing cost of living is driving a lot of hodlers to liquidate. You have to imagine most of the money in this thing is institutional though so maybe it won't matter that much.

Inflation is driving the cost of commodities up but BTC seems to move in the opposite direction. This is meaningful bc the value prop of BTC as an inflation hedge would suggest the opposite, and BTC overweight portfolios will underperform the diversified commodities basket. If this persists it's only matter of time before we also see some institutional unwinding

I don't follow that market super closely but it's interesting nonetheless. It seems these big corrections happen from time to time as well so could just be more of the same. Still one wonders if we are starting to see some structural covariance.

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[–] infuziSporg@hexbear.net 7 points 3 months ago (2 children)

How would a Bitcoin bailout be conducted... like the FDIC but for crypto? That structure only has the reason to exist for USD holdings. Bailouts are done to companies which Bitcoin is not. What are they going to do, something identical to ensuring a minimum payout for call options, on a currency that doesn't really have everyday use?

[–] ZWQbpkzl@hexbear.net 9 points 3 months ago

Trump was talking about making a Strategic Reserve for Bitcoin during his reelection campaign. The US is already a major holder of Bitcoin just from asset forfeiture, but they were talking about having the US government explicitly invest in bitcoin for the treasury.

So no its not a proper bailout but it is effectively a way to bail out the Bitcoin market by buying any major dips. Think of the the US buying up oil when its price went negative.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 7 points 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago)

My guess : They can set a price say 1 BTC = $100k and have anyone sell their bitcoin there.

Then no one wants to sell it on market for less than $100k since they can just go to the window for the floor price. At worst the Government ends up owning all the Bitcoin in existence (unlikely) ie 21 million, the bitcoiners get $2.1 Trillion I think (most of it is a transfer from the gov since they wouldn't have been able to sell it for anywhere near 100k otherwise).