this post was submitted on 16 Nov 2025
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Bitcoin is quietly imploding (hexbear.net)
submitted 3 months ago* (last edited 3 months ago) by Assian_Candor@hexbear.net to c/chat@hexbear.net
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Down 14% in the last month. Still way above its actual value (0) but headed in that direction.

I'm guessing cost of living is driving a lot of hodlers to liquidate. You have to imagine most of the money in this thing is institutional though so maybe it won't matter that much.

Inflation is driving the cost of commodities up but BTC seems to move in the opposite direction. This is meaningful bc the value prop of BTC as an inflation hedge would suggest the opposite, and BTC overweight portfolios will underperform the diversified commodities basket. If this persists it's only matter of time before we also see some institutional unwinding

I don't follow that market super closely but it's interesting nonetheless. It seems these big corrections happen from time to time as well so could just be more of the same. Still one wonders if we are starting to see some structural covariance.

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[–] infuziSporg@hexbear.net 17 points 3 months ago

Since 2017 the baseline trend of BTC has been a low-coefficient exponential growth curve with many spikes that last several months before falling back to the baseline.

It currently looks like we are in a spike on top of a spike, and the double-spike has been lasting for well over a year. The baseline looks like it's vaguely in the vicinity of 30k-40k USD.