https://xcancel.com/michael_hoerger/status/1993183181932310977
Wastewater-derived estimates suggest that 74 million people in the U.S. got infected during the summer wave.
That's 21.6% of the population, about 1 in 5 people. These infections are anticipated to translate into 3.7-14.7 million long-term conditions. #LongCOVID
Text description of post image
Graph titled "SARS-CoV-2 New Daily Infections, Wastewater-Derived Estimates (U.S.)" which has days on the X-axis (with ticks for the first of each month for July through November 2025) and infections on the Y-axis. The graph highlights a peak of 1.4 million infections/day in early September. Additionally, it shows that 60 million infections occurred in the two-month span from early August to early October, and 75 million infections occurred in the three-month span from mid-July to mid-October. The graph is attributed to Mike Hoerger, PhD, MSCR, MBA (@michael_hoerger
) and links to pmc19.com/data
According to slide 8, transmission is at the lowest rate it's ever been at this point in November
The slide also says the numbers may later be corrected upwards (as they are estimates) and they expect a spike to be forthcoming regardless, though.