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I think most paying attention don't hold much faith in polls and, for the most part, ignore them. Polls seem to exist to try to sway public opinion, not inform the public with verifiable facts. Sadly, it seems to me that most don't pay attention, they just jump right in.
I don't think that. Also, the polls being off for the past ten years, rather than showing how much more inaccurate they are now than before, and they aren't totally accurate by any measure, but it could be showing the republicans are cheating, have been cheating, even if their cheating hasn't always been enough to win.
They are cheating in more and better ways now, and gearing to outright denialism. It's not a conspiracy, or a theory to say they are trying to cheat, we all saw 2020, we know what happened in 2000, that these voting fraud campaigns started right after they stole the 2000 election. We know states putting outdated and inadequate equipment in blue districts, understaffing them, making some have to wait all day to vote. None of this is new, and none in good faith, they are just taking it to the next level.
So rather than the polls being so much more wrong that before, perhaps they are cheating more than before and that's why they are off more than they ever have been before these last 10 years.