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I don't think "fuck directly with people's shit because you were handed an L" is a winning political strategy. Will it cost him? Hell no! We've never had a cult leader as president before.
It's looking very much like it's going to cost him in the midterms.
Not if he cheats, and he's definitely going to cheat.
I don't doubt it. However;
100% agree on point one. Although he'd probably still cheat even if he was up in the polls. It's inherent to his nature.
On point two, getting caught doesn't seem to make any difference to him. He never faces any consequences.
Look at it this way; unless you honestly, truly, would take to a witness stand and say under threat of perjury that you believe the GOP could live stream themselves writing fake ballots and stuffing them in the boxes, you still think getting caught matters. We're only disagreeing over how much evidence there needs to be for it to make a difference. Which comes right back to my point; the more you need to cheat, the harder it gets and the more evidence you leave.
I'm not disagreeing with you at all. I'd like to think that getting caught matters, and in saner times it would, it's just that historically, it doesn't seem to with that bloke.