this post was submitted on 04 Mar 2026
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How is bringing in more countries as enemies of Iran supposed to help Iran? Maybe the logic is that these countries would pressure the USA to negotiate in order to end the war, but I suspect that a pre-commitment to do this was part of Iran's strategy for deterrence, but now that deterrence has failed, it serves no strategic purpose except revenge.
By fucking up the region they are also increasing gas prices and fucking up the stock markets, both of which will cause political headaches in the US. They're trying to make it very expensive for the US to attack them.
I question the neighbors’ desire to wade into a conflict beyond token support against Iran, so I’d wager they’ll still pressure the US to wrap this up ASAP so they can go back to exporting petroleum. Most of these countries have militaries suited to maintaining domestic control and not much else. Look how poorly the Saudis have done against the Houthis.
The only one I’d seriously consider as a threat to Iran would be Turkey.
I don't expect that they will make significant military contributions, but I think it's possible that at least some of them would prefer to see Iran thoroughly defeated rather than having the war wrapped up quickly.
Yeah I’d agree with that. I guess the question then is what wins out, their desire for revenue or their desire to lose a regional adversary. I guess that’ll depend on how quickly, if at all, the US navy can secure the Straight of Hormuz
Maybe to impact the global economy and make other countries less likely to support continuing war efforts?