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Yes. Very few photo ID options have citizenship status, and the combo government photo id (drivers license) and birth certificate combo affects people with name changes. 15%-20% of Americans lack the primary ID requirement, and there are fees to obtaining them. The lack of ID would skew towards lower incomes who don't need passports (realID is a domestic travel passport).
There's already massive voter suppression of urban areas through long lines, and specific agitation to increase voting time by challenging voters, Skewing voter eligibility to air travellers and 5 mostly blue states that include citizenship on drivers license is likely to harm rural bumfucks that don't travel, and not obviously benefit GOP. Still, legal challenges will likely block it before mid terms, though the politics of "Democrats want massive (nonexistant) voter fraud to let illegal pet eaters vote" is probably the point.
That is the most bizarre thing about this legislation; dem voters are shown to be more likely to own passports, and are more likely to keep their original name when getting married. This will obviously fuck over poor voters the hardest, so maybe that's the point, but it still seems ultimately self-defeating.
I think Trump is just throwing himself behind anything that vaguely sounds good for him because he's panicking.
And for the "Trump is going to rig the midterms, we're all screwed" crowd, yes, he'll try, but if he was confident he was going to succeed he wouldn't be acting so desperate right now, would he?
The political game is to avoid the actual legislation enacted into law by mid terms, but complain about the cheating radical left needing election fraud to win, and then recounts until 2028 to block change of congressional power. The less the election campaign is about policy, decline, and purposeful GOP destruction of America, the better the GOP's chance.
That would be the smart play, yes (although I don't believe, constitutionally, that they can actually prevent a new congress being seated... But that doesn't change the fact that it's politically valuable to have legislation fail so that you can invent a problem that you "tried" to fix). However Trump doesn't seem to have gotten the memo. The thing about that gambit is that you have to look like you tried, but don't actually, y'know, burn every bit of political capital you have trying to make it happen. Trump, on the other hand, is now saying he's going to completely roadblack all legislation until this passes. He's making it a do or die bill, a "If this is the only thing I pass in my entire term I'm fine with that' piece of tentpole legislation, which is definitely not what you do when the point is to fail nobly.
AFAIK, block all other future legislation. But its not as though the only other legislation he'd approve would make people angry. I doubt he'd roll back, coincidentally the only bill he passed in his first administration, "tax cuts for the rich".
I'm not sure he wants even a budget bill, or "shutdown avoidance" vote, but political capital will as usual blame democrats for process issues. You're using "political capital spending" as this is the last threat he will ever be able to make to anyone, when GOP is mostly supportive of the plan (though suicide if they lose philibuster after losing mid terms)
Political capital isn't just voter approval, it's your ability to cut deals and draw together coalitions within your own party. Trump is burning a lot of goodwill among Republican reps and senators pushing this do or die approach to this bill.