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I agree with the sentiment, but it isn't close to the same. Russia mobilized 100,000 troops to gather at the Ukraine border in 2020 before Biden became president. Trump has sent an additional 2,400 troops to the Iran area after starting the war. The meat grinder effect won't work the same. Russia loses more troops a day sometimes than the U.S. has deployed. That's why he doesn't care. He knows he can always compare to Russia/Ukraine and "look good" while it is unfathomably stupid for him to do so.
That's because Russia has actually seized and attempts to hold Ukrainian territory. If idiot Trump's idea is to drive the Iranians out of Kharg island and other places adjacent to the strait, it'll escalate to the same kind of high-casualty quagmire.
What he knows is almost certainly less than most people assume.