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this post was submitted on 10 Dec 2023
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the_dunk_tank
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It's the dunk tank.
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Is there an actual study which makes this claim, like the one that exists in psychology? Or is this your intuïtion? Not doubting you btw. As a marxist economist, I'd just like the citation.
I might have gotten the psychology study mixed up with a study on economics.
Don't worry, you weren't that far off:
About 40% of economics experiments fail replication survey
Also this; I quote:
Camerer et al. found that two-thirds of the 18 studies examined yielded replicable estimates of effect size and direction. This proportion is somewhat lower than unaffiliated experts were willing to bet...
In other words, ~33% failed to be replicated. Also this pearl:
Now you see it, now you don't: emerging contrary results in economics
...with several (20+) examples of two accepted papers having wildly different conclusions despite using the same dataset for the same purpose.