this post was submitted on 02 Jun 2025
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Image is sourced from this Economist article.

Most of the information in this preamble is from the Cradle; notably here, here, here, and here.


The features of an effective American war (proxy or otherwise) is that it is a) against opponents with much less military power than you; b) with very low American losses; c) with victories you can visibly show off from time to time to justify involvement, and d) with a profit margin beyond merely giving money to military corporations. The war against Yemen was none of those; airplanes tumbled off aircraft carriers, and the navy complained of the hardest fighting conditions in decades. Conquering Yemen for its resources was inconceivable given the terrain, lack of good intelligence, and the strength of Ansarallah, and all that seemed to be visibly harmed were empty patches of desert and civilians.

Apparently, the ceasefire last month merely stipulated that they stop attacking merchant vessels in the Red Sea; it said nothing about attacking Israel. Therefore, Yemen is absolutely free to create a new blockade of Israel by just striking their airports and seaports, and all Israel can seem to do is try and bomb them in retaliation, a futile strategy which has failed to produce a military or political change in Yemen for the last decade when many other countries have tried it. And if America directly attacks them in response to attacks on Israel, the ceasefire is off, and expensive equipment will continue to be lost.

Across the strait from Yemen is an interesting array of countries. Egypt's position in this war is well-known, and Somalia is under a kind of US occupation under the guise of fighting terrorism (Trump withdrew most troops, but they were then sent back under Biden). The other three are Sudan, Djibouti, and Eritrea. All three are increasingly being drawn into the anti-imperialist camp, as they cooperate with Iran, Russia, and/or China. Sudan is undergoing a civil war, but the rebels fighting the government are famously backed by the UAE. Djibouti has refused to allow themselves to be a launchpad for US strikes on Yemen.

Eritrea has a fascinating history of flip-flopping between West and East over the past few decades, but has, since 2020, sided with the East. It was one of the five countries to oppose the 2022 UN resolution condemning Russia's war with Ukraine. Eritrea sends two thirds of its exports to China, and Iran has reportedly supplied them with military equipment. If a stronger link could be reforged, then Iran would have significantly less trouble sending military technology to Ansarallah, and to other friendly groups throughout the region.

Naturally, the lidless eye of the imperial core is shifting its gaze onto Eritrea. Meanwhile, Ethiopia - a country that has experienced frequent conflict with Eritrea - is part of BRICS+ and their economy is increasingly reliant on China (as is most countries' economies nowadays). If a permanent resolution between the two could be created, it would be a victory for themselves and the Resistance, and a defeat for America, which thrives on conflict and destabilization.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] XxFemboy_Stalin_420_69xX@hexbear.net 48 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (6 children)

question for the news heads: do you have any book recommendations on the history of palestine prior to 1947? im currently reading a history of the late ottomon empire and it's really interesting, but i'd love something more focused on palestine specifically, if that exists. i'm mostly curious to know how the allies were able to carve "israel" out of palestine, which means i want to know what the conditions were like leading up to that decision.

also, while I'm at it, has anyone here read finkel's history of the ottoman empire? if so, is it good, i.e., sufficiently materialist in its analysis to be worth reading for a marxist?

if this isn't appropriate for this thread i'll delete but i figured i'd post here instead of c/literature because we have a lot of middle east expertise in the news mega

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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 48 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (1 children)

Yemen launched another ballistic missile towards Israel.

The first part of this video on xcancel, twitter link here shows a high altitude interception of the missile. I think I count at least 4 interceptors fired, the three chasing the missile, and the one launched at the beginning of the video.

This video on xcancel, twitter link here, shows an interceptor jettisoning a booster stage shortly after launch.

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[–] screwthisdumbcrap@hexbear.net 48 points 3 weeks ago (9 children)

Freedom flotilla made a weird turn. Hope they're alright.

https://freedomflotilla.org/ffc-tracker/

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[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 48 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

Lakshya Jain at the Democratic Third Way & Abundance conference: "The base will vote for you anyway. Don’t worry about liberal defections.”

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[–] edge@hexbear.net 48 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (5 children)

Apparently the war in Ukraine has seen the use of drones controlled via a fiber optic tether instead of wirelessly to prevent jamming. Which is 1) easily defeated with a pair of scissors or even the propellers of another drone and 2) littering the land with fiber optic wires.

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[–] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 48 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (5 children)
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[–] MarmiteLover123@hexbear.net 47 points 3 weeks ago* (last edited 3 weeks ago) (4 children)

Activity spotted around a support pillar of Kerch bridge on June 1 by Sentinel 2 satellite imagery

It's not a Photoshop, you can view it for yourself here

Co ordinates for the small image are incorrect, instead they should be: 45.3079, 36.5070. The image should be this:

Now the Kerch bridge has reopened and the attack appears unsuccessful. But what the hell is going on with Russia's internal security? How can this be observable two days before on Sentinel 2 and Russia is seemingly unaware? Maybe they were aware of it, I don't know. But still.

[–] ColombianLenin@hexbear.net 46 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)

I think a weakened NATO and a weakened Russia as a consequence of this war is pretty much the best scenario for China in the long term so I don't mind Russia being cringe every now and then.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 47 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

Following the closing of polls, leaders of the National Regeneration Movement (Morena), including party president Luisa María Alcalde Luján and Senate President Gerardo Fernández Noroña, described the election as a historic success, emphasizing that it marked the first time the Mexican public had directly elected members of the judiciary.

Fernández Noroña downplayed concerns about turnout, stating that the significance lay not in the number of people who voted but in the fact that citizens had the opportunity to elect members of the judiciary. President Claudia Sheinbaum called the election "a complete success," adding that "Mexico is the most democratic country in the world." Later that evening, the INE announced that turnout at the election was at 13%.

Alejandro Moreno Cárdenas, president of the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), and Jorge Romero Herrera, president of the National Action Party (PAN), denounced the presence of voting guides and cheat sheets at polling stations and pointed to low turnout, describing the election as a simulation designed to benefit Morena.

Romero Herrara announced that the PAN would seek to reverse the judicial reform to prevent the 2027 judicial elections, investigate the elected judges for possible ties to organized crime or Morena, and report alleged irregularities to international organizations.

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 46 points 2 weeks ago* (last edited 2 weeks ago) (1 children)

This is the substance that the IOF sprayed on the Madleen using drones before boarding. Looks like a luminescent substance? Glow in the dark? Maybe a measure they take just in case anyone tries to escape the boat? They'd glow up in the water if covered in this stuff by the looks of it.

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[–] ClathrateG@hexbear.net 46 points 3 weeks ago (2 children)
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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 46 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

Trump said the country's authorities would conduct an assessment of government contracts that were awarded to billionaire Elon Musk's companies.

  • Telegram
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[–] anaesidemus@hexbear.net 46 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

I thought the title said "Geopolitics and chill" crush

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 45 points 3 weeks ago

Is Russia unhappy with India's foreign policy? Of course, Lavrov uses very diplomatic language.

Here's the full speech

At that juncture, we engaged in discussions with our Indian counterparts, who emphasised that their interest in joining this “Quad” was confined exclusively to trade, economic, and other peaceful domains of collaboration. In practice, however, the QUAD nations are already endeavouring – and with notable persistence – to organise naval exercises, albeit not under the QUAD’s banner, yet, as the saying goes, “all together – the four of them.”

I am confident that our Indian friends perceive this provocation with perfect clarity. Regarding India and NATO’s anti-China initiatives in Eastern Eurasia, I wish to reaffirm our earnest interest in promptly resuming the work of the RIC trilateral format – Russia, India, and China – which was instituted many years ago on the initiative of Yevgeny Primakov and has since convened over twenty ministerial meetings, not only at the level of foreign ministers but also involving the leaders of economic, trade, and financial institutions from the three nations. Now that India and the People’s Republic of China are reaching an understanding on de-escalating tensions along their shared border, the moment has arrived to revitalise RIC.

[–] hellinkilla@hexbear.net 45 points 3 weeks ago (17 children)

I don't follow international affairs stuff much closely and I'm for sure not a tactics and battles type of nerd. I don't really get the whole concept.

On the mainstream news I am always hearing that Russia has killed 10 or 20 people by bombing Ukraine.

I don't mean to sound heartless about deaths of anyone but is that the best they can do? Or are they slow walking the whole situation? Why haven't they decisively won yet, or else given up? Can't they capture or kill the top guys or take their families ransom or something?

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 3 weeks ago (4 children)

Bolivians Supporting Evo Morales Block Roads and Streets - Telesur English

Article

Interior Minister Rios accused the protesters of attempting to ‘hold entire cities hostage.’ Since Sunday night, social and political organizations that support former President Evo Morales have been blocking roads and avenues in protest of the worsening living conditions caused by the economic crisis.

Besides demanding the resignation of President Luis Arce, citizens are also calling for Evo Morales to be allowed to run as a presidential candidate.

In Cochabamba, authorities confirmed at least nine roadblocks on highways, affecting the supply of basic goods and fuel. The protests have also disrupted traffic between the departments of Sucre and La Paz. “Evistas” have cut off vehicle circulation in municipalities such as Sipe Sipe, Mizque and Vacas.

Commenting on the roadblocks, Interior Minister Roberto Rios accused the protesters of attempting to “hold entire cities hostage.” “The goal is not to improve the country’s situation, but to push for a candidacy that does not meet legal requirements,” he said, noting that a Constitutional Court ruling prohibits indefinite reelection and bars Evo Morales from running for president again.

“In Chuquisaca, drivers decide to join the national strike and roadblock this Tuesday.”

Undeterred by threats, Indigenous leader Juan Enrique Mamani said the protests would continue “until the Arce government steps down.”

Drivers, students, university professors, farmers and rural residents have also announced protests against the economic crisis. Some of these social groups have already begun blocking roads in Potosi, Sucre and Pando, while also participating in urban demonstrations in cities such as El Alto and La Paz.

Amid concerns about increasing unrest, Defense Minister Edmundo Novillo warned that if the protests spiral out of control, the government may deploy the Armed Forces to ensure democratic stability and public safety. The Arce administration said it will use all legal mechanisms to prevent the protests from undermining the country’s institutional framework.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 44 points 3 weeks ago

Argentine Court Temporarily Suspends Milei’s Decree Limiting Right to Strike - Telesur English

Article

This is the second time the far-right president has attempted to eliminate this right via decree. On Monday, National Labor Court No. 3 granted a preliminary injunction requested by the Association of State Workers (ATE), temporarily suspending the enforcement of an article in a decree signed by President Javier Milei that limited the right to strike for workers in various sectors.

Judge Moira Fullana halted the enforcement of Article 3 of Decree 340/2025, arguing that it could violate constitutional guarantees such as union freedom and the right to strike, which are protected by Argentina’s Constitution and international treaties the country has signed.

“The enactment of the challenged regulation could infringe on the exercise of rights derived from union freedom,” she stated in her ruling, warning that its enforcement could result in “irreparable harm.”

The ruling concerns the decree’s article requiring between 50% and 75% of normal services to be maintained in essential sectors, even during labor disputes. The suspension will remain in effect until a final judgment is issued on the matter.

“The courts suspended Milei’s decree prohibiting strikes. The right to strike is enshrined in the Constitution. Milei tried to limit it through a decree. Javier, you’re not a king! For now, you’re just a very bad president.”

The court’s decision came 10 days after ATE filed a legal injunction challenging the constitutionality of the decree, accusing the Milei administration of an “attempt to outlaw the right to strike.”

“The right to strike is our most important right. If they take it away, workers are left with nothing,” said ATE Secretary Rodolfo Aguiar.

Milei’s decree modifies existing labor regulations by expanding the list of services classified as essential and introducing a new category called “activities or services of transcendental importance.” Added to the list of essential services were all branches of maritime and river transport, customs and immigration services, and education at all levels.

Under the new “transcendental activities” category, the decree included the production of medications and/or hospital supplies, land and subway transportation, radio and television, industrial activities, the food industry, the production and distribution of construction materials, all airport services, logistics services, mining, the meatpacking industry, postal services, and the distribution and sale of food and beverages, among others.

The initial attempt to curtail the right to strike had already been included in a sweeping deregulation decree signed by Milei shortly after taking office in December 2023. That effort, however, was declared unconstitutional by the Argentine judiciary.

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