this post was submitted on 20 Mar 2026
44 points (100.0% liked)

US News

2495 readers
8 users here now

News from within the empire - From a leftist perspective

founded 6 years ago
MODERATORS
muad_dibber@lemmygrad.ml
ComradePupIvy@lemmygrad.ml
44
US furiously seeks to avert potential monthslong closure of Strait of Hormuz (edition.cnn.com)
submitted 1 week ago by yogthos@lemmygrad.ml to c/us_news@lemmygrad.ml
19 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

Looks like The White House is just winging it, and there's no plan whatsoever:

A recent internal assessment from the Defense Intelligence Agency that was circulating inside the Pentagon in recent weeks determined that Iran could potentially keep the passage shut for anywhere from one to six months, four sources familiar with the document told CNN. But White House and Pentagon officials insisted that the assessment — particularly the longer end timeframe, which some consider a worst-case scenario — was not being seriously considered.

top 19 comments
sorted by: hot top controversial new old
[–] Bronstein_Tardigrade@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 5 days ago (1 children)

"The US furiously seeks to avert..." They could always pack it up and go home; that would avert a months long closure. Easy-peasy.

[–] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 5 days ago (1 children)

At that point they lose foothold on the region entirely, and obviously they're not going to do that willingly.

[–] Bronstein_Tardigrade@lemmygrad.ml 4 points 5 days ago (1 children)

I think the US has already lost their foothold, they just don't know it yet. The Gulf states were exchanging trillions of dollars in US investments for a security guarantee, and it turns out the US can't protect a damn thing.

[–] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 3 points 5 days ago

For sure, but it does seem like the Gulf states are still hedging right now. Iran has to decisively defeat the US and force them into retreat the way Afghanistan did. At that point, the neighbouring states will have no option but to work with Iran going forward.

[–] bestmiaou@lemmygrad.ml 26 points 1 week ago (2 children)

seeing the amount of disruption after not even 3 weeks into it being closed, it being closed for 6 months may actually be an existential threat to the US.

[–] yogthos@lemmygrad.ml 26 points 1 week ago (1 children)

Not just the US, all of the west would be fucked at that point. Meanwhile, the demand for cheap goods from China will explode because nobody is going to be able to afford anything else. It might also get countries to actually start doing a serious transition to renewables out of sheer necessity, which will also mean buying Chinese solar panels.

[–] Jarmund@lemmygrad.ml 5 points 1 week ago (1 children)

What i'm more concerned about is the iranian bourgeoisie getting too drunk in their own hubris.

The iranian parliament was considering imposing basically a tollbooth for the straight, obviously to extract revenue out of it.

China has a key role in advising the iranians to not push things over the cliff

I am saying this of the top of my head and i am aware this is not a thorough material analysis

[–] KrasnaiaZvezda@lemmygrad.ml 14 points 1 week ago

Not only they definitely should set a toll on the strait, it looks like they already did. And considering how they've been acting so far they'll likely ask more from the west, if they even allow all of them through...

[–] laylaeverywhere@lemmygrad.ml 6 points 1 week ago

close it forever