this post was submitted on 06 Jun 2026
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[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 7 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

and the hotter oceans will potentially respond to El Niño in unpredictable ways compared to past El Niños

Yea, something breaking (air, ocean currents) will be a much bigger problem than just higher average temperatures.

The excess heat from climate change is absolutely helping feed this El Niño due to hotter oceans in general

Yes, but also ENSO is measured compared to the 1991-2020 average, so over 0.5C warming is already baked into the ENSO neutral position.

This is obviously just a short-term snapshot, but temperatures are already looking a bit toasty in the ENSO region.