doomer

linky

will amerikkkan filmmaker make 50 movies about it? doubtful

Hey chat is it a good thing if:

• there’s a looming energy crisis
• a bunch of crops are having really low yields
• there are lakes and rivers completely drying up
• we’re about to enter a super El Niño
• data/fusion centers are polluting/consuming the water/air en masse
• thousands of people have died in India due to heat before summer’s even officially hit
• and there’s another pandemic brewing in Africa just prior to millions of people traveling for the World Cup?

How long do we have before shit starts to break down due to lack of food and water, even in the imperial core? I give it less than a year at best.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/403447620_Global_warming_acceleration_in_satellite_observed_lower-tropospheric_temperature

statistically significant warming trends of up to 0.482 ± 0.113°C decade⁻¹ are found from 2015 onward across all satellite and reanalysis datasets examined in this study, representing an increase of approximately four to five times relative to the pre-2015 period. This large trend, however, is only a conservative estimate. At the upper end, statistically significant acceleration rates of up to 0.48 ± 0.12°C decade⁻² are inferred near 2024, indicating that the recent temperature jumps are part of an ongoing acceleration amplified by the El Niño event. Projections based on the accelerated trend estimates suggest the potential for an additional 0.5–1.0°C of warming within the next decade.

I'm sure some of you have seen the international headlines or the new UN climate warnings about the heat dome over India right now. The IMD (our weather department) has issued red alerts across my region (the northwest/central belt). Yesterday, a town near me recorded 48.2°C.

I want to explain what 48 degrees actually feels like when you live in a developing country, because it is terrifying.

You can't just "stay inside and run the AC." The power grid simply cannot handle the load of millions of people trying to cool down, so we are dealing with rolling blackouts. Imagine sitting in the pitch dark in a concrete room that has been baking in the sun for 12 hours, with no ceiling fan, while the ambient temperature inside is still hovering near 40°C at midnight. You don't sleep; you just pass out from exhaustion.

The taps are running dry because the heat evaporates local reservoirs and water usage spikes. People who have to work outside-street vendors, construction workers, delivery drivers -are collapsing. Even the water coming out of the cold tap during the day is hot enough to literally brew tea.

It feels like we are living on the absolute razor's edge of what the human body can endure, and it's only May.

For those of you living in other countries, or even cooler parts of India-what is the weather like for you right now? I genuinely just want to hear about someone being cold, or feeling rain, just so I can remember what it's like.

This is a post I saw today from r/india and I thought I'd share here. It really broke my heart. Absolutely horrifying.

https://www.reddit.com/r/india/comments/1tq4exk/it_hit_482c_118f_in_my_state_in_india_today_the/

*title is sarcastic, I’m not in total doom mode yet. But every time I see something about hantavirus it feels like it’s January 2020 all over again. I keep seeing people say we “learned the lessons of Covid” then see us in reality doubling down on our failures and somehow doing things even worse than the first time around. If this doesn’t become a pandemic it will be by the grace of god and sure as hell not because of anything we’ve done.

Edit: article is old. Someone tested positive so now the usa is doing a mandatory 72 hour quarantine. So still not taking things seriously

Person "Hey, KuroXppi how's it going?"

KuroXppi "Yeah, good thanks, [Person], yourself?"

P "Not too bad, lovely weather we're having"

K don't mention unseasonable warmth for this time of year "Yeah... get up to much on the weekend?"

P "It was so cold on Saturday so stayed indoors, but it was lovely on Sunday so we had a picnic! They were forecasting rain but luckily it held off. There were a few mozzies though, the bastards. How about you?"

K not mentioning below average rainfall across most of the state and reservoirs under continuing strain, insecticide "Yeah not much, saw a comedy gig with some mates and slept in Sunday. Anyway, gotta get to the morning stand up, have a good one" not mentioning accellarating climate collapse, micro plastic pollution and the shifting baseline syndrome

Normal conversation

It will get too hot in these regions for any rice to grow!

Here's the map of what regions will likely be effected, look at India

models are showing a 62% chance El Niño will emerge this summer and linger until at least the end of the year.

our midwife gave us some very solid advice to talk about with the pediatrician and ended it with "make sure to tell him you got this fror chatgpt and not a midwife, it makes doctors take you more seriously" :agony:

honestly she is such a well of information and such a kind-hearted good person and an elite expert, the stuff this woman can recall of the top of her head is mind-boggling, but gets slandered by our pediatricians boss it's fucking gut-wrenching. They keep saying that she is part of some circle of sheisters that recommend unnecessary procedures to make bank and we know the truth but there's nothing we can do...

When the state climatologist warns he’s not going to sugarcoat the drought we’re in, expect a bitter pill.

The traditional April 1 water outlook from Colorado Climate Center’s Russ Schumacher puts the water equivalent in the dismal snowpack at just 22% of the historic median for the date, far lower than any year they’ve recorded under the current system.

Did you know it was 99 degrees in Burlington, at the Kansas border, on March 25? That had escaped us, too. But Schumacher cites that shocker to underline how quickly the sun blasted out the statewide snowpack in the last two weeks of March.

The average liquid water stored in Colorado’s snow was down to 3.1 inches on April 1. That’s less than 40% of what remained on that date in the previous lowest year, 2012, when 9.1 inches of water equivalent was still left in the pack.

“It’s now safe to conclude that this has been the worst year for Colorado snowpack in recorded history,” Schumacher wrote in his blog Thursday.

There are a few snowballs of hope left, way back in the freezer behind the Bomb Pops and the chicken nuggets. While the assessment stops March 31, April is starting off fairly April-y, Schumacher noted. There was some snow in the mountains April 1, and temperature and storm forecasts for the month show a more typical spring pattern of cool periods that help preserve what’s left in the snowbanks.

Still, the Climate Center acknowledges it’s hard to look beyond the visceral impact of the red-hot maps they are showing around. The meteorologists mapped all the places in Colorado that experienced a full seven days this March that were hotter than any other March days recorded for the past 75 years.

“That’s right: a whole week’s worth,” Schumacher wrote.

The map, as you can see here, is disturbingly, deeply red.

But for those in the tropics, the findings were sobering: extreme heat had slashed tropical bird populations by 25% to 38% over the past 70 years. Tropical songbirds, they found, were hit hardest.

The losses in the tropics have been so profound, in part, because species there are already living near their limit of heat tolerance, Kotz says. At the same time, birds in tropical regions are experiencing dangerously hot days about 10 times more often than they did in the past.

This is nothing to do with any current or recent struggle sessions, or any one struggle session/controversy in particular. This is a much broader issue and I am wondering what it holds in store for any strictly leftist social group online. I would also like to apologize to our non-American/Western users as this is going to be very centered on that.

There was a lot of anxiety about Trump's 2nd term back in 2020. There were people afraid that Trump would be way worse than any Democrat. I didn't personally see it that way, but I (now) empathize a little more with comrades even if their fears don't seem deeply well founded. This made everyone a little more jumpy. Everything seemed a little more urgent.

After 2020, a light depression set in. Bernie lost and all the people who supported that were let down. All the people who knew it was going to be a let down lost their energy as well. There wasn't much of a new thing for everyone to focus on and talk about. Basically the left, as much as it exists, wasn't in the conversation anymore. We were even more relegated to the crank pit. The media project that had been built, that most of us here paid attention to, simply became about dwelling on history, naval gazing about what is to be done, and supporting media careers as praxis. Even the fascist infighting of Jan 6 didn't result in anything and thus "nothing ever happens" mentality is born.

Tensions with Russia and Ukraine, and disastrous Democratic presidency gave us something to focus on and plenty of new enemies to fight. We once again could go after libs and point to how liberals are screwing up everything. We had the invention of new internet guys at which to get mad. Ultimately, the war didn't lead to some new level of consciousness for everyone. It became normal and whatever fresh possibilities existed in Feb of 2022 didn't exist anymore.

Once again we were looking down the barrel of another Trump term. This time the people who felt that Dems would give some respite from fascism had either been pushed past that by Biden's term or they left the site. Jan 6 was a nothing burger, so the fear of competency was lessened. Biden had turned most into sickos who felt Trump was exactly what this country deserved, regardless of how bad he is.

The genocide in Gaza did not help attitudes. This also brought some life back to Hexbear in terms of analysis, news, and fighting genocide denial. I think it's has also had a depressing effect as well. We all see the depravity of Zionists and Western governments every day. We see people being systematically exterminated and everyone waffles, everyone supports it, there is very little political will from anyone in charge to do something. At best it's turned into a market issue where BDS will save us but then all the Zionists rig that game too.

As for the past few months, it's been rough. Once again we face massive economic crisis in the US that liberal economic analysis either can't see or refuses to see. It's not that the jobs market is in a lull, it's that it doesn't exist. The largest sector of the US economy can hire cheap labor at will without having to even look at the domestic labor pool. They're doing massive quarterly layoffs of domestic and foreign sourced labor. Food costs are still high and getting higher. Inflation can only rise at a faster rate (that won't be reported).

It is completely safe for the worst right-wingers to espouse their views in public. They are rewarded for it with government jobs. If anyone harms them, the President sends troops to avenge them. The highest law enforcement body in the land will sue on their behalf. There are no brakes here. All those seemingly petty fears from 2020, the debates about Trump being a real fascist or not, are all valid. Jan 6 2029 could be way more serious than the other one. First as a farce, second as a tragedy, so to speak.

The increased popularity of AI has already changed the internet. AI, whether it's just tulips or the next industrial revolution, is here to stay. The US economy has all but dedicated its entire economy to AI and AI companies.

As others have pointed out, doesn't the internet feel a little off? The discovery of content has been completely dominated by increasingly fine tuned algorithms that make sure you stay on the correct rails. Podcast media is no longer subversive, if it ever was, it is a real tool of the state and is actively being used as such. Podcast popularity has flooded the market with an increasing amount of superfluous content that buries everything and makes it easier for propaganda outlets to hide. Youtube is nothing now. It's almost a Skinner box that doesn't even reward you and produces incomprehensible slop. You can watch short videos that range from roblox rp to nazi propaganda to cooking videos to some 13 year old making guns in his garage within 30 seconds. Everything else, including the best material, is just a gig for people who don't want a "real" job.

Also thanks to AI, it's going to be increasingly hard to understand what's real. The distinction between advertisement and content won't exist. Everything will be monetized and you will not get a cut.

Just as an anecdote, I have also noticed a slow down on the internet. Not in speed, but in the refresh rate of content. Hexbear seems to get fewer posts, existing posts stay in position longer, fewer comments. I have noticed this on reddit too. It simply feels like there are less people engaging in the internet and are instead just passively scrolling, or the algos have reached a point of tuning to where they are completely busted. But since Hexbear's algo doesn't get tuned like reddits, I don't think it's the issue.

To bring this back around, I am not sure we are going to make it to 2029. As things get worse materially and the right wing cracks down, everyone will be more on edge. This is going to lead to more and more infighting. People are going to draw harder lines in the sand and be less forgiving of one another crossing it. Now, none of this will be super obvious and to most people it will seem like everyone is being more principled and that's why it will be accepted. In fact, it will feel good and make us feel like we're cleaning up the community. This will lead to a series of major struggle sessions that will only break down the user base. Some people will get banned and just leave. Some might come back. Users will leave if no action is taken. Users will leave because they disagree with whatever action is taken. The result is less users.

The internet as a whole is not friendly toward sites like Hexbear. We will begin to run the risk of being targeted. All it will take is some fork of grok at Doge Corp to crawl us and flag us. Then some 14 year old chud prodigy will call his dad at the AG's office and get us taken down. Or it'll just be death by attrition from AI agents and reduced engagement. We will be cut off from fresh users from the outside. Federation with other instances will just result in net zero because they're going to be in the same situation. The difference is they might be more friendly to liberals and live a little longer.

I'm not suggesting any action really I just wanted to share my fears. There is no coalition we can form, no concession we can make. It seems inevitable that our future is offline. We made it, what 5 or 6 years now? I don't think we can do it for 5 more. If the site is still up, it's going to be like 20 people at most.

Every year, the world makes more than 400 million tons of new plastic, and that could grow by about 70% by 2040 without policy changes. About 100 countries want to limit production.

The final decision, or lack there of, underscored the influence of the United States and other oil-producing countries such as Saudi Arabia, which opposed any limit on the productions of plastics, made mostly from fuels like oil and gas.

Not that anyone should have expected anything different, but we can't even get a future limit on the amount of plastic produced

Just thinking today based on the recent news of well, the past 6-months, that we're headed in a pretty dire direction. We're not even one year into Trump and things have already accelerated to the point we are at today. The only silver lining I see here is that the usa has fucked off from abusing the global south and China has stepped in to steer the non-fascism aligned world in a good direction. Great, but I have a sinking feeling for the rest of us poor stuck in this shithole.

More than 470 fires across the country are currently classified as “out of control”, according to the Canadian Interagency Forest Fire Centre (CIFFC).

7,318,421 hectares of land in Canada have burned due to wildfires this year – close to 78% more than the five-year average of 4,114,516 hectares, according to the CIFFC’s latest data.

The 2025 fire season is only behind the explosive 2023 wildfire season, which resulted in an astounding 17,203,625 hectares burned.

Tens of thousands of people in communities across the country have been evacuated due to the wildfires. In Saskatchewan, the Canadian Red Cross reported it had assisted more than 17,000 people in the province from over 6,700 households to evacuate.

These forests are just going to burn until there's nothing left