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this post was submitted on 22 Jun 2026
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I don't think that it will crash (well, okay, rather, it's not why I'm making the statement), but 2028 is when substantial new memory production will be coming online (well, okay, absent unforseen disruptions like a war with China or another COVID-19 or something).
The thing is that once they release it, they freeze the specs, if they want to have a consistent target. If they wait two years, they can bump the specs up as part of that.
Like, if they ship now, then they're really constrained to, in 2028, ship a two-year-old system.
They can absolutely reasonably re-release a refreshed version in two years, like the Deck OLED. If supply lines allow for it, they can drop the price on the current models and offer systems with more/ faster memory and storage, better CPU/GPU etc.