this post was submitted on 25 Dec 2025
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End of 2026 Russia is going to be crumpled on the ground with Ukraine kicking them in the face to wake up so they can negotiate a ceasefire but Russia is way too fucked up to do anything coherent but lay there in the mud moaning in pain while taking drunken swipes with a knife at Ukraine in attempt to press the attack.
I do not honestly think Russia is capable of continuing to fight that long, especially if we are talking about large mechanized assaults, certainly not at this rate of attrition and also the rate Russia is training Ukrainian personnel to be ruthlessly effective at repelling their mindless assaults as their own soldiers learn nothing and then die.
Not to mention Ukrainian/European military technology is pulling far ahead of Russia while Russia doubles down on trying to make iterative improvements to fundamentally obsolete equipment and doctrine.
It will be a disaster for Russia if they continue to insist on losing for that much longer.