Iran controls the oil supply line for most of the western world we are already seeing impacts on the world economy via the straits.
The US is supplying itself and Israel many of the heavy munitions currently being used, these are a finite resource it simply has to wait out even if it takes weeks.
Regime change in Iran will only be forced by a ground invasion, that's bad on so many levels the US has no appetite for another Iraq or Afghanistan.

So for Iran they can keep bombing neighbours force the financial issues and wait out the resources to dwindle.

Yes they will largely be in ruins but for those in power it's acceptable losses.

[–] orc_princess@lemmy.ml 2 points 9 hours ago

Yes they will largely be in ruins but for those in power it's acceptable losses.

What was the alternative? They tried to negotiate for decades and were betrayed during the last round of negotiations

[–] yogthos@lemmy.ml 16 points 1 day ago (1 children)

There are other factors too. The US has a limited number of bases in the region which Iran is systematically taking apart right now. These provide logistics for staging, ammo storage, early warning systems, air defenses, and so on. These bases took decades and trillions to build, and they simply cannot be replaced. While Iran is simply too big to bomb into submission, the same logic doesn't apply to the limited US assets in the region.

Another huge factor is that the US has to ship weapons across the ocean, which is slow and expensive. Iranians are fighting on the home turf, and they effectively have unlimited weapons by comparison. And of course there's the fact that Iranian weapons are simply more efficient. The US is forced to use multiple multi million dollar interceptors to take down each drone that costs a few thousand to make. It's obvious that Iran can pump out drones faster than the US can pump out missiles.

Finally, the whole idea of ground invasion is a fantasy. Iran is a country of 90 million, with difficult mountainous terrain. For context, Ukraine is a third of the size, and Russia has an army of 1.5 million fighting there.

[–] MrNesser@lemmy.world 3 points 1 day ago (2 children)

I can see a possible holding of Tehran and air space above Iran but as a way to affect change it won't happen, they can just move the government until gorillas activity forces the US to leave.

There's a very good reason no one went toe to toe with them in a local conflict.

[–] emergencyfood@sh.itjust.works 2 points 9 hours ago

Guerillas. Gorillas are the apes.

[–] yogthos@lemmy.ml 8 points 1 day ago

Yeah, taking any single city isn't going to change anything. Also, they have developed a whole mosaic defense strategy to decentralize command specifically to prevent the possibility of any sort of decapitation strike https://www.palestinechronicle.com/explainer-what-is-irans-mosaic-defense-strategy/

[–] mrdown@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Regime change in Iran will only be forced by a ground invasion

They can use some kurish idiots though

[–] MrNesser@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Which Turkey will quickly bomb into submission after the war

[–] Keeponstalin@lemmy.world 5 points 1 day ago

Wouldn't be the first time the US arms both the Kurds and who they're fighting again in order to destabilize the region

[–] Lucius_Sweet@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago

We prepared for that, we lined up a type of gorilla that thrives on snake meat